20 reasons why Oil to NEVER hit $135.00 again...dated: May 22, 2008

Discussion in 'Commodity Futures' started by increasenow, May 22, 2008.

  1. Well, how did oil do today (CL - Tuesday July 22, 2008)? Previous close to todays close, down 340 on the new front month

    This is what the mo-fo (U8 contract) did from open to close: down 169, up 108, down 65, up 89, down 70, up 58, down 172, up 112, down 84, up 95, down 53, up 235, down 119, up 70 & down 110.

    Yesterday a fast bottom at 14.14. with a big upswing into the close - 160+ from the 14.14 bottom while today a top at 14.14 and a net downswing into the close - 159 points going down.

    Ok, here is something to get savvy about: note your time line. All stuff at ET only concentates on price - never when it happens. But everything on a chart is price by time.

    ".. ah bubbling crude.. oil that is .. black gold .. Texas tea"
    :cool:
     
    #391     Jul 22, 2008
  2. eagle

    eagle

    Reaching second attempt for support around $120. And...?

    I'm finally right with IncreaseNow, LOL. Sadly, no more money to short, account was wiped out. Yep, we were right with empty pocket. :D

    This is a good example that trading is very risky that even the trader was right but with little precision missing, we're finished.

    Lesson learned, NEVER HAVE A STRONG CONVICTION OF SOMETHING. NEVER BELIEVE TOO MUCH IN OUR PREDICTION. JUST FOLLOW THE FLOW.

    In other words:

    I think ... => ok
    I'm sure ... => not ok
     
    #392     Jul 29, 2008
  3. jasonjm

    jasonjm

    actually you got that lesson wrong

    the lesson is trade oil at 1:1 margin

    then you can afford for sanity to return

    I know it aint exciting trading at 1:1 though.

    I'm looking to go long oil at around 85-95

    If we dont see 85-95 zone, then no trade
     
    #393     Jul 29, 2008
  4. hmmmm...well it did hit it, but now...hmmm...really way under $135.00...will we ever see $135.00 Oil again?...what do you think?....I traded the CL and ICE Brent Crude Oil today...would have had a great CL trade but my platform was set to a default cash loss amount and it exited me out too soon...would have been a good profit...did make $$$ trading ICE Brent Crude Oil today...gotta love the CL and Brent Crude Oil per point value... 1 point = $1,000 1 tick = $10

    anyone trade the QM mini Crude Oil?...I hate the huge spreads on it...
     
    #394     Jul 29, 2008
  5. what does this mean?...forgive me for not understanding but...what exactly does this mean...please explain...thanks...
     
    #395     Jul 29, 2008
  6. you are waiting to trade Crude Oil until it goes to $85-$95????...no trading until that level is hit?
     
    #396     Jul 29, 2008
  7. hey eagle...what really happened in your CL trade(s)?
     
    #397     Jul 29, 2008
  8. okay...please break your timeline strategy down for trading the CL from 9:30AM to 11:30AM New York time...thanks...
     
    #398     Jul 29, 2008


  9. The falling dollar has caused the prices of the Oil to rise; as international prices of Oil is in US Dollars. Thus, when US dollars fell the prices rose dramatically.

    Please have a look at the following threads to have a clearer idea:

    http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=104501
    http://elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=108642
    http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=55456
    [/QUOTE]great post!..right on!
     
    #399     Jul 29, 2008
  10. jasonjm

    jasonjm


    correct.

    unless it hits around 175 to 200 first, then i will go short....

    1:1 margin means as follows:

    the CL contract is worth $120 000 when oil is trading at $120 per barrel. Therefore to open up 1 CL contract long or short, your trading account should have $120 000 capital in it.
     
    #400     Jul 29, 2008