16-Delta is the "sweet spot" for short put?

Discussion in 'Options' started by turkeyneck, Jun 13, 2023.

  1. Hittfeld

    Hittfeld


    May I object?

    SPX is European style, is cash settled, no early exercise.
    SPY is American style, physically settled, exercise possible anytime if option ITM.

    Or am I wrong?
    Kind regards
     
    #21     Jun 14, 2023
  2. taowave

    taowave

    Not sure what you are trying to grasp??

    when running an option backtest and looking at what strike to run the test,they typically decide between percent of spot and Delta...

    In this discussion,we are talking 45 day options,so ATM foward isnt an issue..

    As you know,I could choose to run a backtest on "100 percent of spot PUT"(ATM) or a 50 Delta put,also ATM...Same strike,different approaches.

    In the example from the paper,16 delta puts are supposedly the optimal delta to sell. FWIW,I do not agree. Keep in mind a 16 delta put will have a slightly different strike price depending on IV.Play with IV and see foryourself..IOW,the percent OTM will vary..

    If that doesnt sit well with you,you can fix the strike by selecting a "percent of spot" strike that approximates a 16 delta put ..Look at the SPY options expiring on 7/28...the 16 delta option is the 417 strike..Its also the 95% of spot put..(417/438 ).To be clear,change the Voland you will see how Delta changes. Its up to you to decide what methodology you prefer....

    As for SPX v SPY,there are nuances,but the backtests should be almost identical.

    I do notice that you tend to overcomplicate things





     
    #22     Jun 14, 2023
    Flynrider likes this.
  3. @taowave, are you aware of the fact that the OP & original source are talking of ShortPut, not LongPut?
    But is your example of S=438 K=417 ExpDate=7/28 not for a LongPut? Since it's bearish, whereas ShortPut is bullish... So, you got the strike at the wrong side of the spot, IMO.

    I still don't understand how you compute 16 delta to get the strike 417.

    IMO it should be 438 - 16 / 0.5 = 406 for a LongPut
    and 438 + 16 / 0.5 = 470 for a ShortPut
    Assuming delta=0.5 for current spot, ie. for ATM, which usually holds if no dividends involved.
     
    Last edited: Jun 14, 2023
    #23     Jun 14, 2023
  4. taowave

    taowave

    of course I am aware of that :) Ive backtested it and know its wrong or optimized :)
    If someone calls you and says make a 2 sided market on the 95% spot put expiring in 43 days,you have no idea if its a long or short put until I hit the bid or lift the offer. What I am showing you is dealer convention for quoting,and/or Orats inputs..

    Go thru the numbers,for some odd reason you are a bit confused..
     
    #24     Jun 14, 2023
  5. Hey @taowave, I've enough of BS talkers, pls pls don't let you be one of those... :)
     
    #25     Jun 14, 2023
  6. You could be right, verifying... Someone has it really badly wrong... Ie. the original author and source at https://www.projectfinance.com/spx-vs-spy/ has many bugs in its text regarding the differences between SPX and SPY.

    Official information from this link confirms what you said:
    https://www.cboe.com/tradable_products/sp_500/spx_options/

    Btw, there is also a "mini" available named XSP, which is similarly 1/10 of SPX, much like SPY:
    https://www.cboe.com/tradable_products/sp_500/mini_spx_options/
     
    Last edited: Jun 14, 2023
    #26     Jun 14, 2023
  7. taowave

    taowave

    Dude,you are lost on a simple
    concept.

    Take the strike price and divide it by price. That's one method.

    Or

    Use Delta of the option as input to run backtest.The author couldn't have been clearer..

    Whats the issue , other than the obvious?






    @taowave, I've enough of BS talkers, pls pls don't let you be one of those... :)[/QUOTE]
     
    #27     Jun 14, 2023
  8. Dude, you lack some basic math skills, I would say :)
    Taking strike and dividing by price gives in your case 417/438 = 0.95. How is this at all related to 16 delta?
     
    #28     Jun 14, 2023
  9. taowave

    taowave

    Exactly..In this example the 95 percent spot put = 16 Delta..

    Why is this so hard for you? You can program,but you can't equate the 95 percent spot put to its Delta??




    put
     
    #29     Jun 14, 2023
  10. Come on, what has 0.95 (or 95%) to do with 16 delta? Just show us the math.
    Or is this maybe an unwritten ancient "convention" you maybe was taught by someone?
     
    #30     Jun 14, 2023