100% PERFECT TA setups... If you're not watching for these, you might as well go flip burgers.

Discussion in 'Technical Analysis' started by Scataphagos, Oct 13, 2023.

  1. themickey

    themickey

    That's not really the point I was attempting to convey.
    What I was attempting was KISS too, similar to Scaterbrainsnbergers point.
    One could in theory and practise dispense with dozens of chart lines and still arrive at the same conclussion.
     
    #71     Oct 18, 2023
  2. Darc

    Darc

    Let me see if I've got this right:

    Support and Resistance, does NOT work.
    Trendlines and Channels, do NOT work.
    Moving Averages, do NOT work.
    Candlestick analysis, does NOT work.
    Volume analysis, does NOT work.

    Thanks.
     
    #72     Oct 18, 2023
  3. tiddlywinks

    tiddlywinks


    I agree, but...

    You need some method and/or means to arrive at a conclusion.

    The market does not care if it is the same conclusion as someone else
    with different means and/or methods.

    The conclusion you arrive at, whether it is right or wrong, is your conclusion.
     
    #73     Oct 18, 2023
  4. maxinger

    maxinger


    Quite correct.

    change
    does NOT work
    to
    does NOT work most of the time.


    If you just use
    SR
    TL channels
    MA
    candlestick volume analysis,
    The win rate will be around 1% (best case).


    So that means traders must come up with something to
    improve the win rate from
    1% to 40 to 50%.
     
    #74     Oct 18, 2023
    Darc likes this.
  5. schizo

    schizo

    LOL, if that were the case, why are we even arguing? It's because we rarely ever come to the same conclusion, and thank god for that.

    BTW I've said this over and over again, you shouldn't be competing against the institution. You really should be out-competing those who are dumber than you. May that sink in.
     
    #75     Oct 18, 2023
  6. Darc

    Darc

    Al Brooks doesn't trade Bitcoin. He believes it tradeable using TA, but he can make more money trading the Nasdaq.

    I agree with Al Brooks.
     
    #76     Oct 18, 2023
  7. tony.m

    tony.m

    Prayer, Coin Toss or Voodoo ?
     
    #77     Oct 18, 2023
  8. themickey

    themickey

    My take....
    They sort of work, but if one relies too much on them they can send you down the path of brokeback mountain.
    S/R are prolly the most reliable on your list.
     
    #78     Oct 18, 2023
    Darc likes this.
  9. themickey

    themickey

    Hmmm....
    I think Al Brokes is an armchair trader.
    QQQ_Barchart_Interactive_Chart_10_19_2023.png

    QQQ black, Bitcoin orange, percentage change, 3 years.
     
    #79     Oct 18, 2023
    Darc likes this.
  10. themickey

    themickey

    Yah but I'm naturally lazy, I seek max output for min input.
    I compete against myself, always looking for flaws and a better way.
    With an engineering background I don't think of the market as people but a machine with a cunning coded brain.
     
    #80     Oct 18, 2023
    semperfrosty likes this.