Some stats from the results. Average guess = 1332.6 Minimum= 666 Maximum= 1750 July 2nd 2011 SPX cash close 1339 So the average from the guesses indicates that the close will be roughly the same place in a year (July 2nd 2012). We shall see.
actually (in math terms) if you make a poll like this always the average will be near today's levels because people will take today's level as reference and some optimistic by nature will add some points and some pessimistic will take some points, if you polled enough people then you will have 50% and 50% will all the profiles the exaggerates and the not-so and you will have an average near today's levels
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