$100 contest- Where will S&P be on 7/2/2012

Discussion in 'Trading' started by Zr1Trader, Jun 19, 2011.

  1. 1379 SPX cash.
     
    #41     Jul 1, 2011
  2. 770 es
     
    #42     Jul 1, 2011
  3. I'll go with 1520.0

    JJacksET4
     
    #43     Jul 1, 2011
  4. will OP provide us with the distribution of the entries?
     
    #44     Jul 4, 2011
  5. Some stats from the results.



    Average guess = 1332.6
    Minimum= 666
    Maximum= 1750


    July 2nd 2011 SPX cash close 1339

    So the average from the guesses indicates that the close will be roughly the same place in a year (July 2nd 2012). We shall see.
     
    #45     Jul 10, 2011
  6. Entries....for shortie. I rounded them for time being.
     
    #46     Jul 10, 2011
  7. thanks!

    wow, i am in ~top 20% optimists!
     
    #47     Jul 10, 2011
  8. actually (in math terms) if you make a poll like this always the average will be near today's levels because people will take today's level as reference and some optimistic by nature will add some points and some pessimistic will take some points, if you polled enough people then you will have 50% and 50% will all the profiles the exaggerates and the not-so and you will have an average near today's levels
     
    #48     Jul 10, 2011
  9. <iframe width="480" height="390" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/G68FmAgB50w" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>
     
    #49     Jul 10, 2011