USDCAD will be my last trade for this 24-hour market cycle. I entered on the blue candlestick circled in red (see chart below) and was surprised by the drop four bars later. I figured it was just market makers collecting the last handful of pennies before taking the pair higher, so I used the opportunity to code a new adaptive price-range envelope specifically designed to tell me when it might be a good time to purchase 15-minute binary option contracts through IQ Option, should I elect to start using their platform at any time in the future. In watching my IQ Option setup (a 5-second chart) the hypothetical trade unfolded exactly as I would have hoped, so I will continue to evaluate the practicality of the new envelope's use. (NOTE: This is the wrong chart! I traded USDCAD, but this chart is USDCHD. Nonetheless, the price action was pretty much identical [given that the institutions, or the bots, or both, tend to make all their moves at the same time.]) The loss handed to me by NZDJPY last night stung quite a bit, but I know I can reduce the size of such events or get out at break-even once I return to monitoring/managing my positions. I've completed the project I was working on this past year, so now I'm just waiting to receive compensation so I can apply part of it to my OANDA account and resume full-time trading.
Monday, September 2, 2019 Performance was mixed... On the other hand, the second week's goal is to net a minimum two-week total of $19.53, and summing yesterday's returns with today's puts me about halfway there based on this week's trades alone...
As it turned out, the new adaptive price-range envelope gave every indication of being superior to the indicators I was already using. I therefore deleted or adjusted them and am now trading off a more accurate configuration. For example, when USDCHF stopped me out after the release of economic data at 7:00 a.m. PST, I was immediately able to recoup part of the loss by entering a long position at the bottom of the last EURGBP candlestick in the image below and exiting at the top where I had set my take-profit target. As evident from the image, both the entry and exit points were suggested by the new envelope. I made up the rest of my loss from the next trade (GBPJPY) based on the same indicator...
NZDUSD was my first trade made using the strategy described above... I played it safe and set my take-profit target at the "tube's" upper band, which was good for only about 5-pips worth of profit. But had I been monitoring the position, this trade would have probably resulted in twice the payoff...
Results from Wednesday, September 4, 2019 The tactics for trading “tube pullbacks” are sound, I believe, but I’m not monitoring my positions yet and therefore have to make trade decisions based purely on structure alone rather than waiting for permission to jump before placing orders, as granted from the trigger line. Consequently, I got stopped out of almost all my positions and had to reenter the whole lot of 'em just a little while later, so that my daily success rate for Wednesday was barely over 50%. Bluh! I was saved however by the fact that my largest profit trade was almost double my greatest loss trade, with the average ratio being roughly 3:2. Since the proper way to trade my charts is to remain long only while my lines are rising and to hold steady when short only so long as my lines are falling, I’m going to study today’s charts to help ensure that this is exactly what I do when I begin trading full-time next week, provided that things go as planned.
Including the results from Thursday morning, September 5, 2019 (Pacific Standard Time)... I'm very encouraged by this last two week's outcomes. Hypothetically, the Dynamic Price Range protocol evidences the potential to generate a MUCH better daily return than 1.8% of equity, so it will be interesting to see what happens once I'm actually trading it live.