Will Turkish Lira really make up the good comeback?

Discussion in 'Economics' started by Dr_Trade, Dec 21, 2021.

  1. Dr_Trade

    Dr_Trade

    Turkey prez Tayyip Erdogan said on clear note that there is no more rate cuts which was done earlier by central bank in September and the reason for 40% fall till then to the dates. After the Prez's statement, lira start gyrating and which can show how much the traders are pessimistic but real scenarios are on the ground how citizens are fighting with this hyperinflation.


    upload_2021-12-21_13-0-36.png
     
    Last edited: Dec 21, 2021
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  2. Peter8519

    Peter8519

    Fundamentally, if Turkey has something others want then others will buy lira and pay for it. If Turks want to get their cash out of the country, then they have to use lira and buy other currencies. The latter seems to be in the driver seat.
     
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  3. IF Turkish Lira appears to make a comeback, I wouldn't bet on it sticking. Turkey has a history of periodically destroying their currency. Last "reset" was in 2005, when the Lira was devalued 1,000,000:1... to become the "New Lira" @ 1.06:1 vs USD. Since, currency erosion (not official "devaluation")... where the Lira is 18:1. The people of Turkey need to kick Erdogan's ass to the curb! Just like all tyrants and dictators, he heaps misery upon all of his people for his self enrichment and aggrandisement.
     
    Last edited: Dec 21, 2021
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  4. easymon1

    easymon1

    Last edited: Dec 21, 2021
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  5. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    Turkey's main stock index BIST100 looks like it has voted a resounding no!!!!!!!!! Into bear territory -21.70%
    ! BIST 100.png
     
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  6. Overnight

    Overnight

    Looks like ~1500 is a good support level.
     
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  7. Dr_Trade

    Dr_Trade

    Agree with all, but rate cuts have crossed the threshold level and that where there is no improvement seen in inflation rates, as @easymon1 has shared the resources Turkey has, I think solution would definitely come from there only and nation's central banks should came with the more flexible fiscal policy now, its the need of the hour.
     
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  8. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    I see 3 zones potential support zones, before 1500, with the lowest most likely not just because of current economic peril but the price generated levels and fibs (imp 100% proj esp) are tightly grouped.
    ! BIST100.png
     
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  9. maxinger

    maxinger

    big picture
    The descending trend line is still intact.
     
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  10. TRY in consolidation phase, people need to buy goods and services produced in the nation to make the currency strong.
     
    #10     Dec 27, 2021