Will Trafalgar be the gold standard of polling or out of business tomorrow?

Discussion in 'Politics' started by kmgilroy89, Nov 3, 2020.



  1. Dude's a Trump hack (based on his accusation of voter fraud on Hannity, not his polling methodology which I also find ridiculous), not acting in good faith, and is bringing down the averages (even though his polls should not be included) in my opinion. I'm expecting a popular vote win >5%. Very unlikely for Trump to win the electoral college with that percentage.

    https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_biden-6247.html
    RCP's final average is 7.2%. 538 is at 8.0%.

    I can be wrong, but I consider myself a professional gambler and I'm putting my money where my mouth is.
     
  2. Cuddles

    Cuddles

    [​IMG]
     
  3. exGOPer

    exGOPer

    Cons don't go out of business for being wrong, they will peddle some conspiracies, blame Dems for everything and do the whole thing again next cycle. Just look at jem's Unskewed Polls V2.
     
    Cuddles likes this.