There is additional context … As per the rules, “The market will resolve to “Yes” if the acting President fails to sign the relevant bill(s) extending government funding by the applicable deadline(s), even if no government shutdown is explicitly announced.” President Biden did not sign a bill extending funding by the midnight deadline (12:00 AM ET) on December 20, hence this market should resolve to “Yes”. Didn’t read the fine print before to post.
Likely doesn't matter regardless. There have been several... never amounted to anything significant. If shutdown leads to a market dip, likely good play to buy it.
The most reliable are likely to be large cap, tech, semiconductors. If you're going to use sectors significantly, you need to be keeping track of a few/several. When you feel it's time to buy, you should be looking at the sectors that have decline the most recently and those that declined the least recently. It would be good if your software could rank them.
I use Investors Fasttrack (not free) and have for years. They have various EOD data packages with charts , but they give you all the ETFs and Indices for free with paid subscription to one data package. You might also look at Finviz... you can use it free for some things, but to have custom lists I think you need a paid subscription. Here is the Fasttrack ranking list for the ~120 ETFs and indices I have in this folder.... since the big down day last week. Effectively, you probably don't need such a large list (and there are many, many more I don't track at all except in the default list FT provides.) All you really need is perhaps a dozen major ones.
FNGU (3X NYSE FANG+ Index) was up 13.7% from the Fed day up until yesterday's close. Of curse the NYSE FANG+ index is pretty narrow with only 10 stocks.
Mostly. Big players are responsible for sector shifts, and they need liquidity. A smaller player can take advantage of smaller (and perhaps better performing) ETFs that big players cannot.