Why the GOP Will Win the Gerrymandering War Despite the willingness of Govs. Newsom and Hochul to circumvent their state constitutions in order to expand their already bloated congressional delegations, it will be difficult to accomplish this in time to matter for the 2026 midterms. Even if a majority of California voters reverse their decision to have redistricting done by commission, there is likely to be considerable pushback—including protracted lawsuits. In New York, Hochul’s allies in the legislature want to amend the state constitution to allow lawmakers to draw new lines if Texas or another state engages in mid-decade redistricting, but that would go into effect in 2027. Gov. Abbott has no such legal or procedural hurdles to overcome. Indeed, the Lone Star State’s constitution permits him to call an unlimited number of special legislative sessions. Moreover, he has confirmed that he will call “session after session” until the AWOL legislators return to their jobs. Meanwhile, in Ohio, the state’s redistricting rules quite literally require its district map to be redrawn before next year’s midterms. According to a report in Signal Ohio, “Republicans hold 10 congressional districts while Democrats hold five. But three of Democrats’ seats are in districts that are competitive, thanks to the mix of voters who live in them.” Thus, in Texas and Ohio alone, the GOP is positioned to capture up to eight more House seats. And there are serious discussions about mid-decade redistricting underway in Missouri, New Hampshire, South Carolina, and Florida. In fact, according to a Politico report, “Republican state lawmakers nationwide oversee 55 Democratic congressional seats, and Democratic state majorities oversee just 35 held by the GOP.” The Trump administration is planning to exploit that advantage everywhere possible. It is by no means a coincidence that Vice President JD Vance has been visiting Republican lawmakers in places like Indiana.
It’s awesome when the voice of the people is subverted so that a narcissist can stay in power. Proper democracy at work.
republicans mastered it in the 90s. It’s their only way of maintaining a majority or close to it in the house. Most states are democrat by population which is why democrats typically win most of the votes.
Dr Sam Wang (https://election.princeton.edu/sam-wang/) has done analysis on this and he says what Republicans are overlooking is that carving out new seats will make many safe red seats competitive and if 2026 is a House wave election like 2018 there is a good chance Republicans will end up losing more seats than without the gerrymandering.It can be found on his Threads account. Republcans lost 41 House seats in 2018.Trumps approval ratings now are worse than they were in Nov 2018.Trumps approval ratings now are also worse than Bush's were in Nov 2006 when Dems won 31 seats. Even if Republicans carve out 20 more seats they will still likely lose the House.
TACO ALERT!!! Texas Dems begin to crack, confirm return to state after fleeing to obstruct GOP redistricting: report
It seems that the Republicans in Texas just realized their error. They created 10 new competitive districts instead of 5 new GOP seats. 'They're worried': Texas Republicans admit they may have screwed up redistricting plan https://www.rawstory.com/texas-redistricting-2673907383/