Just interested mainly in what everyone anticipates shorting when the bears take over, mostly. And what stocks it might be bad to get caught holding.
Commercial Real Estate stocks. Businesses have learned much more about using Work From Home. In New York City, which has the virus well under control. the number of people working in big offices is still down 85%
Retailing and restaurants and entertainment venues. People will be staying home more, period. So no shopping in physical stores (people are not doing that anymore anyway), no dining out and no movie theatres or theatres. Everybody will be pretty much shopping online, ordering take-out and streaming and gaming.
Shopify trades at 500X forward earnings and 60X sales. Those are the types of things I would be looking to short the sh*t out of.
That's a good one. Traders and investors who know they are trading the hype will be quick to dump the stocks that have little substance, when the market declines heavily. One would think, anyway.
Yeah, I've been keeping an eye on that one too. The thing is, its gonna be tough to time the big move, and if you short it now, there's a good chance it could be a painful trade. I can't believe that thing is nearly $1000. It was like $160 as I recall in early 2019. I mean yeah its the right business for the times, but still. How's the rule of 40 look on this one nowadays? I need to check that.
I would love to short TSLA or SHOP. The question is when is this market decline supposed to happen. I agree that everyone will prefer to shop online that's why AMZN and SHOP are at nosebleed prices. For some reason the 2008 market decline only needed 700 billion in tax payer funds. This current decline is in the trillions and counting, yet I'm not sure a bear market will occur.