which market is over-valued today?

Discussion in 'Stocks' started by aqtrader, Aug 25, 2015.

  1. aqtrader

    aqtrader

    It is arguable to say which market is over-valued, just like no one really knows the market goes up or does down in the future. But we can say which market is more over-valued as compared with other markets using PE. I did a quick scan of a few world markets. Here is I see today:
    1. US median PE 18.18 (321 stocks valued over 1B USD);
    2. Shanghai/China median PE 52.63(1045 stocks valued over 1B CNY);
    3. Shenzhen/China median PE 71.43 (652 stocks valued over 1B CNY);
    4. Taiwan median PE 11.23 (401 stocks valued over 1B TWD);
    5. Hongkong median PE 11.76 (601 stocks valued over 1B HKD);
    6. Japan median PE 16.95 (472 stocks over 10B yuen);
    7. London median PE very big (actually from the data available to me per-dollar earning is zero) based on 247 stocks over 1B GBP (need to double check);
    8. Singapore median PE 12.34 (96 stocks over 1B);

    Just considering PE, no surprise to see China stocks goes down another 50% and still over-valued as compared with US/Japan/HK/TW markets. As for US, looks like the value over PE is not high.

    So, it is a lot more fun to see how China stock market will go in the near future.
     
  2. destriero

    destriero

    You're not using a nominal valuation. $1B USD is 6.4B Yuan. Stick to PEs and comparable sectors.
     
  3. aqtrader

    aqtrader

    does not matter.