What if CV would let us go hungry?

Discussion in 'Economics' started by Genevian Speculator, Mar 29, 2020.

  1. Ok there has been a discussion about a vacine for CV andwhen its coming. But if CV followes the pattern of Influenza it means every immunity is lasting for 1 year, no matter if vacined or recovered. If you add in that the severe cases get serious permanent lung damage, that means they might have bad chances the next time they are hit.
    So the game of quarantines will go on in the next years.
    What if the game of quarantines hits the oil industry? Or their logistics? Wouldn't that make for the next global famine?
     
  2. LS1Z28

    LS1Z28

    That would be terrible, but the early scientific data suggests this won't happen.

    https://www.businessinsider.com/new-coronavirus-mutates-slowly-vaccine-could-be-long-lasting-2020-3
    The coronavirus mutates more slowly than the flu — which means a vaccine will likely be effective long-term
    A glimmer of hope on the coronavirus front: Experts who have been tracking the virus' spread have concluded that it mutates at a slower rate than other respiratory viruses like the flu.

    This slow mutation rate has two implications — both positive. It means the virus (whose official name is SARS-CoV-2) is stable in its current form and therefore unlikely to get even more dangerous as it continues to spread. That also means a vaccine could be effective in the long run; it'd act more like a measles or chickenpox vaccine than a seasonal flu shot.
     
  3. Sig

    Sig

    Take a gander at the price chart of oil, the world's currently awash in it. Of all the commodity supply chains we depend on the oil sector is probably one of the least manpower intensive, it makes up only a fraction of a percent of the U.S. workforce. It's going to be one of the last things we let shut down and is far less concerning then the rest of the food supply chain. Not for nothing they call the labor that picks all your fruit and vegetables "migrant" labor.
     
  4. gaussian

    gaussian

    There is so much oil in excess right now I doubt it would effect anything more if that happened. At least in the short term.

    Now whether or not the freight boats can dock...that's a different problem entirely.
     
    Genevian Speculator likes this.
  5. That gives some hope, ty.
     
  6. Sig

    Sig

    The loading and unloading of oil is highly conducive to quarantines and social distancing. It's almost entirely automated and generally no-one even has to get off the ship. In fact in many cases most of the crew is prohibited from leaving the ship even in normal times for customs clearance reasons. And we're talking a crew of 25 for a supertanker, just to give you an idea of how crazy small the crews are.
     
  7. Amun Ra

    Amun Ra

    And they'll make sure to give you your quantum tattoo dot with your covid-19 vax to make sure you're compliant

    https://savedmag.com/bill-gates-qua...implant-to-track-covid-19-vaccine-compliance/