"We predict that President Trump is going to win"

Discussion in 'Politics' started by thecoder, Oct 30, 2020.

  1. thecoder

    thecoder

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  2. Buy1Sell2

    Buy1Sell2

  3. Tsing Tao

    Tsing Tao

    Interesting paragraph:

    Admittedly, no poll is perfect. That’s why RealClearPolitics takes a step forward by “averaging out” these errors across polls. But “averaging out” only works when errors are made in both directions. Here, many polls make errors primarily in one direction, so the average will still reflect some of the biases that exist.
     
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  4. Arnie

    Arnie

  5. jem

    jem

    As I said about 2 cycles ago..
    The average of crap is crap.

    Averaging skewed polls gives you an average skewed poll.

    538 adopted the unskew the polls methodology but they seem to unskew in a very skewed manner.


     
  6. tsznecki

    tsznecki

    The liberals/Dems/lefties/Trump haters or anyone who thinks Trump is out of this race should be careful. It is a lot closer than it looks.

    Either way one side is going to cry next Wednesday.
     
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