Using ETFs to trade World Indexes for Argentina

Discussion in 'ETFs' started by lmseldin, Nov 3, 2022.

  1. lmseldin

    lmseldin

    I like to trade indexes by using ETFs.

    For instance, I am comfortable trading SPY for SPX index.

    I am looking to diversify and back test on these Indexes and trade their ETFs if successful:

    I am specifically looking at:
    ^MERV Merval (Argentina) use ETF ARGT which has small volume.


    ARGT has such a small volume, can I trust to get in because I want to trade on Merval?

    My major concern is being able to get in and out of these ETFs daily on a buy or sell signal and not have to worry about not able to get out.

    Also, these specific ETFs have small history compared to their Indexes, if I backtest on the indexes, can I reliably use this testing results to think that these results will be the same on their ETFs.

    Thank you,
    Larry
     
    murray t turtle likes this.
  2. zdreg

    zdreg

    Avg. volume is 5k/day. That is your answer.
     
    SunTrader likes this.
  3. lmseldin

    lmseldin

    I guess my question is that 5,000k is very small. However, since it is based on the index would I be getting filled based on Index prices or would the small volume be impacted by say 2000 share buy?
     
  4. BKR88

    BKR88

    (1).15-.20 spread on 31 price (.4-.6%)(might be different earlier in the day)
    (2)300 size on bid/ask (would want to scale in/out with 300 or less)
    (3)weekly chart is decent (tradable)
    (4)5-minute chart is untradeable (still able to exit/enter if willing to give up .15-.20)
    (5)comparison chart (ARGT-^MERV) similar pattern but different results the longer you hold (compare on tradingview.com)

    argt.W.png argt.5.png
     
    murray t turtle, nrstrader and zdreg like this.
  5. lmseldin

    lmseldin

    Bkr,

    Let's say the Index is at 150, 000 and the ETF is at 31. So if I placed a large trade on the ETF the asset (based on it's low trading volume) will the ETF increase significantly because of slippage for the buy. So would I get maybe filled at 31.20 or could it go crazy to 32 or 33? When does the ETF go back to the index price?

    PS. I am a position trader and keep my trades usually for 2-6 months. If I put a limit buy in at 31.20 when the current price is at 31.20, would it take all day to get filled?

    Thank you,
    Larry
     
    murray t turtle likes this.
  6. ph1l

    ph1l

    Here is an article that might help.
    https://am.jpmorgan.com/us/en/asset...s/etf-investing/education/true-etf-liquidity/
     
  7. lmseldin

    lmseldin

    ph1,
    Good article. Just confused on figuring out if a ETF is liquid for an index, saying "I think I should check with a broker on that". I don't "like that answer".

    upload_2022-11-4_16-14-24.png
     
    murray t turtle likes this.
  8. %%
    NO\ not a good idea to trade that wide a bid \ask+ small volume;
    + same reason a realty apraiser NEVER gets just one home comp[small volume of comps.]
    OK for an investment; no problem on exit just plenty of slippage to the max.
    ILF is tradable,20 year data; SPY= liquidity leader.
    Wisdom is profitable to direct;
    but easy to get a good fill if market reverses on our order:caution::caution:
    I did an exit on semi liquid[ 444k av day volume] DRLL today/ good uptrend but plenty of intra day gaps/bid /ask gaps:D:D
     
  9. BKR88

    BKR88

    This is tradable as a swing trader (which you are) but you need to use limit orders on thinly traded markets. No reason to push the price to 32, 33, etc... by using a market order.

    So if the current bid/ask is 31/31.20 I'd start by placing a limit buy for 100-300 shares at 31.10. Adjust to 31.20 if not filled. There are times when they won't even fill a buy order on the ask. I had screenshots to prove it. If they fill the first order, watch what happens to the bid/ask. Sometimes they'll bump it higher even if the underlying index didn't rise. Depending upon how much you want to buy/sell, this can take several/many trades to get your desired position. If they bump the price higher after the 1st fill you may want to set limit orders @ market and lower and walk away. The index may drop & get you filled. Try it for a few days until filled unless you want to get all filled TODAY then you may have to pay up a bit depending upon how much your broker is willing to fill.
    I usually take a partial position to get started then place multiple limit orders a bit lower. May adjust higher the following day if I think the market is moving away from me without a pullback.
    Stop losses cannot be used.
     
  10. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    Can't get blood from a stone, holding period 2-6 months pay up already. Geez.

    Or ... find another ETF with decent vol.
     
    #10     Nov 4, 2022
    murray t turtle likes this.