TSLA - Do the math

Discussion in 'Stocks' started by OTM-Options, Apr 6, 2015.

  1. TSLA - Do the math

    • Sold an extra 800 of the Model S (10,300 instead of 9,500).
    • Up 6.34% on the news.
    • About 1.5 Billion Dollars additional market cap.
    • That works out to $1,875,000 for each extra car sold.
    • MSRP of a Model S S71,000.



    :)
     
  2. Pekelo

    Pekelo

    I did the math, they will be bankrupt in 5-7 years top...
     
  3. hajimow

    hajimow

    The way the analysts value companies like Tesla is like this:
    1-We have over 7 billion people on earth
    2- In 20 years it might go up to 9 billion !! so for simplicity we assume 10 billion
    3- All countries like China, India are growing and everyone will need a car and will need an energy efficient car like Tesla
    4- So there will be 10 billion Tesla cars sold in 20 years !!
    5- Each Tesla is sold at 85K on average but new models can be sold at 100K on average.
    6-Margin is 50% on each car so 50K profit on each car.
    7- 10 billion x $50,000 equals $500 Trillion
    8- So based on the above calculation Tesla shares should be $20,000
    Do you see any flaw in the above calculation?