https://www.businessinsider.com/trump-underwater-approval-rating-battleground-states-2019-6 Trump's approval rating is underwater in 9 major 2020 battleground states, and it's a troubling sign for his re-election prospects President Donald Trump's approval rating is underwater in several key battleground states ahead of the 2020 election, according to a newly-released report from Morning Consult. Morning Consult found that Trump now maintains a net-zero or negative approval rating in nine critical swing states, eight of which Trump carried in 2016. Trump also maintains net positive, but still notably shaky net approval in solidly Republican states he carried by comfortable margins in 2016. Nationwide, Trump maintained a 40% approval rating in May, down from 46% in April, according to Gallup, which cited growing calls for impeachment and the threat of new tariffs on Mexico as possible causes for the decline. President Donald Trump's approval rating is underwater in several key battleground states ahead of the 2020 election, according to a newly-released report from Morning Consult. Morning Consult, which conducts daily surveys tracking Trump's approval rating, found that Trump now maintains a net-zero or negative approval rating in nine critical swing states — all of which he carried in 2016, with the exception of New Hampshire. Trump has a net approval rating of -19 in New Hampshire, with 39% approving of his job performance and 58% disapproving. He maintains a net approval rating of -13 in Wisconsin with 42% approval and 55% disapproval. In Michigan, Trump has a -12 net approval rating, with 42% approval and 54% disapproval. Trump also has a -12 net approval rating in Iowa, with 42% approval and 54% disapproval. He holds a -7 net approval rating in Pennsylvania, with 45% approval and 52% disapproval. In Arizona, Trump has a -6 net approval rating with 45% approval and 51% disapproval. Trump holds a -4 net approval rating in Ohio, with 46% approval and 50% disapproval. His net approval is also -4 in North Carolina, also with 46% approval and 50% disapproval. And Trump has a net approval rating of 0 in Florida,with 48% approval and 48% disapproval. Trump also maintains net positive, but still notably shaky net approval in several solidly Republican states he carried by comfortable margins in 2016. He has only a net +1 approval rating in Georgia, North Dakota, and Kansas, and +3 net approval in Texas and Indiana, according to Morning Consult. Nationwide, Trump maintained a 40% approval rating in May, down from 46% in April, according to Gallup polling. Gallup said Trump's dip in approval could be the result of a number of factors including growing calls for the House to begin impeachment proceedings against him, and Trump threatening unpopular and divisive new tariffs on Mexico, which has already caused the stock market to plunge and could raise costs for American consumers. Despite Trump's poor approval in critical swing states, he still boasts strong support among Republican primary voters. Morning Consult's survey found that Trump maintains above 70% approval among every key demographic within the subset of likely GOP primary voters.
https://www.politico.com/story/2019/06/05/biden-beating-trump-texas-poll-1355285 Poll shows Biden beating Trump in Texas By CAITLIN OPRYSKO A new poll out Wednesday spells danger for President Donald Trump’s reelection chances in one of the unlikeliest of places: Texas. The Quinnipiac University poll shows that Joe Biden would top Trump by four points — 48 percent to 44 percent — in a general election matchup there, an outcome the ruby red state hasn’t seen in four decades. But even while Biden is the only Democratic presidential candidate to beat Trump in a head-to-head matchup in Texas, the poll signals trouble for the president there in that it found five other candidates within the poll’s margin of error, including home-state politicians Beto O’Rourke and Julián Castro. Perhaps surprisingly, the next strongest candidate in the state was Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren, who the poll found losing to the president by only 1 point, 46 percent to 45 percent. Next was South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg, whose rising star landed him within 2 points of Trump in a head-to-head matchup. But among Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters, the poll found that Biden continues to hold a commanding lead in the primary field, with 30 percent of voters backing Biden, followed by 16 percent for O’Rourke, 15 percent for Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) and 11 percent for Warren. Sen. Kamala Harris (D-Calif.) and Castro were far behind with 4 percent each, followed by Buttigieg with 3 percent. No other Democrat topped 2 percent in the poll. But as the president continues to struggle in the Rust Belt states that handed him the White House in 2016 — in part due to Biden's popularity with working-class voters — his campaign has begun to seek out alternate paths to a second term, including plans to compete in blue states like New Mexico, Nevada and New Hampshire. O’Rourke has previously caught flak for his insistence than Texas and its 38 Electoral College votes could be in play in next year’s election, but Biden’s strong performance in the GOP stronghold will bolster his argument that he is the most electable 2020 Democrat. Though O’Rourke, who has faltered in more recent national and early state polling, jumps up to second place in the Texas poll, Democratic voters there would much rather see him ditch his White House bid to challenge GOP Sen. John Cornyn, by a nearly 2-1 margin. And though the former Texas congressman put up a fight in his 2018 run to unseat Sen. Ted Cruz, earning him early presidential front-runner chatter, he has faltered in more recent national and early-state polling. While he jumps up to second place in the Texas poll, Democratic voters there would much rather see O'Rourke ditch his White House bid to challenge GOP Sen. John Cornyn by a nearly 2-1 margin. The Quinnipiac poll surveyed 1,159 Texas voters from May 29 to June 4, and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.4 percentage points. Among 407 Democrats and Democratic-leaning voters, the margin of error is plus or minus 5.8 percentage points.
Is 2020 the year Texas flips? 2004 Bush + 23 2006 Kay Baily Hutchinson +25 2012 Cruz + 16 2012 Romney + 16 2016 Trump + 9 2018 Cruz +2.5 2020 ????????????
Daily Presidential Tracking Poll The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Thursday shows that 50% of Likely U.S. Voters approve of President Trump’s job performance. Forty-nine percent (49%) disapprove.