The article is preceded by an excellent ~4-minute video by Robert Reich. http://www.newsweek.com/trump-impeachment-odds-2018-868893 The chances of President Donald Trump facing an impeachment trial after a month of very poor press coverage have increased and reached their highest point in all of 2018, according to oddsmakers. Political and financial futures site PredictIt showed that the cost of one “Yes” share, which predicted Trump would face impeachment before the end of his first term, opened Sunday at 45 cents, a 12-cent difference compared with January 2. Last month proved to be a significant one for Trump’s potential impeachment. The price of a “Yes” future on February 28 opened at 39 cents and closed at 38 cents. But by the middle and end of March, the price was firmly in the low 40s and even reached a high of 46 twice, on March 26 and 28. Those dates are quite significant. The latter was the day after CBS's 60 Minutes aired its interview with adult film actress Stormy Daniels, who claimed she had sex with Trump in 2006 in the months after his wife, Melania, had given birth to their son, Barron. Trump, who has yet to publicly deny the alleged affair, faced considerable backlash. On March 28, Trump also took to Twitter to praise what he claimed was the construction of his proposed wall along the U.S. and Mexico’s shared border. However, Trump’s claim was later panned, as the construction was only for more fencing and not the wall he had promised his supporters. The president also took lashings for signing the $1.3 trillion omnibus spending bill, which provided only $1.6 billion in wall funding. “Great briefing this afternoon on the start of our Southern Border WALL! ” Trump tweeted March 28. Conversely, Trump’s experienced a strong bump in approval ratings in the early months of 2018. His average approval rating was stuck at 37 percent in mid-December, but he’s since rallied to an average of 42.1 percent approving, compared with an average of 52.9 percent disapproving, according to a RealClearPolitics composite of major polls. Some Democratic lawmakers and one billionaire have pushed to impeach the president but have not seen any success. In two votes for articles of impeachment, Democrats mustered only 66 votes in the House of Representatives. Meanwhile, hedge fund manager and major Democratic donor Tom Steyer has continued a television advertising campaign aimed at convincing voters to reach out to their congressional representative and call for Trump’s ouster.
Just because he has poor press coverage from CNN and MSNBC does not mean he will get impeached, same as the fact that Obama was not going to be impeached just because he had bad press coverage from Fox News. Need an actual offense for impeachment or a Democratic overwhelming majority in Congress, neither of which exists. Not a fan of Dump but the belief that he will be impeached in 2018 is based on nothing really.
I don't doubt that the odds have increased. It has nothing to do with events or guilt or innocence. It has everything to do with democrats taking over the House, where impeachment begins. Because the congressional republicans have gone out of their way to infuriate Trump voters, those voters will likely stay home election day, greatly increasing the odds of democrats reclaiming at least the House. If they do, democrat leaders will face a tough choice because their rabid base will expect impeachment. Most likely they will find some sort of flimsy evidence from Mueller to lend such an effort some credibility, plus of course the democrats' media arm will be fully supporting it and trying to whip gullible voters into a Watergate-like frenzy. Their aim will be to tie Trump in knots for the last two years of his term, after having used Mueller to tie him up for the first two. It is a brilliant scheme, aided and abetted by traitors within Trump's own administration. I recall making predictions that something like this could happen. The establishment does not like outsiders coming in and spoiling their game. There have been several cases where an outsider like Trump was elected governor and was run out of office on dubious claims of wrongdoing.
A year ago, MAGA supporters would have taken to the streets and perhaps sacked the Congress if Trump was impeached. Now, after a year plus of President Trump doing the exact opposite of what candidate Trump promised, I doubt they will care.
"'I'm A Holocaust Survivor—Trump's America Feels Like Germany Before Nazis Took Over' On 4/9/18 at 9:33 AM Stephen B. Jacobs has a warning from the past for America today: It’s happening again. At 79 years old he is among the youngest of the living Holocaust survivors and was born six years after Adolf Hitler came to power in Germany. But Jacobs can remember life in the Nazi concentration camp at Buchenwald; what the Nazis did to him, his family, his friends. He worries about what’s happening right now in America, where he has lived and prospered since arriving a couple of years after Buchenwald’s liberation on April 11, 1945. The American far-right appears emboldened since the election of President Donald Trump, who led an inflammatory, nationalist campaign." What was old becomes new again.
You are promoting the story, now own it. The fundamental issue with having a successful impeachment is that you have to recognize Trump is President.
The Left has been initiating all the marches, Antifa, censorship, statue teardowns, flag burning, anthem kneeling, anti-religeous rhetoric, media frenzy of basic constitutional rights, open borders, false prosecutions, and elevating disfunctional figures to corrupt the American culture, and lying. Tell me again which party is going to provide us with the next Hitler?
The one with the top guy who admires authoritarian, strongman leaders around the world but criticizes and ridicules just about everyone else. P.S. Did you see Robert Reich's ~4-minute video at the beginning?
Thats my point....why are oddsmakers increasing odds based on media coverage and lack of Democratic majority... seems like pretty shitty oddsmakers..