trending or momentum?

Discussion in 'Technical Analysis' started by MrAgi1, May 26, 2021.

  1. MrAgi1

    MrAgi1

    There are different explanations of momentum online, some vague and sometimes contradictory.

    However, I found two that explained the concept relating it to physics. I found both interesting but I am not sure which one correct.
     
    Last edited: May 26, 2021
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  2. MrAgi1

    MrAgi1

    First concept:
    Momentum is like velocity and trend is like speed. So if a stock start at $100 goes to 110$ and ends at $100, trend is present but momentum is zero.

    Second Concept:
    Momentum measures the slope of a trend.

    A stock that is increasing by 2$ everyday has a constant momentum(fixed increase in stock price result in a constant slope).

    A stock price that increase by 2$ first day, 9$ on second day, 25$ on third day e.t.c has increasing value of momentum?

     
    Last edited: May 26, 2021
  3. comagnum

    comagnum

    The way I see it trend is the directional path while momentum is the velocity of price change over time. In a trend there can be periods of high momentum.

    upload_2021-5-26_9-38-17.png
     
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  4. %%
    Exactly;
    momentum = price speedometer+ tends to get out waaaaaay to early.
     
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  5. MrAgi1

    MrAgi1

    I like your explanation.
    That means the second concept is correct. Right?
     
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  6. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    Rate of change.
     
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  7. MrAgi1

    MrAgi1

    Exactly. So if the slope of the stock price is experiencing a high increase. Then there is high momentum.
     
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  8. Bunch of semantics all up in this thread!!!
     
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  9. ph1l

    ph1l

    A fixed increase means the slope is decreasing. For example,
    Code:
    perl -e 'use warnings; use strict; my $curPrice = 100; my $incr = 2;
    for (my $i = 1; $i <= 10; ++$i)
    {
        my $slope = $incr / $curPrice;
        my $nextPrice = $curPrice + $incr;
        print "i $i curPrice $curPrice incr $incr slope $slope nextPrice $nextPrice\n";
        $curPrice = $nextPrice;
    }'
    
    Result:
    i 1 curPrice 100 incr 2 slope 0.02 nextPrice 102
    i 2 curPrice 102 incr 2 slope 0.0196078431372549 nextPrice 104
    i 3 curPrice 104 incr 2 slope 0.0192307692307692 nextPrice 106
    i 4 curPrice 106 incr 2 slope 0.0188679245283019 nextPrice 108
    i 5 curPrice 108 incr 2 slope 0.0185185185185185 nextPrice 110
    i 6 curPrice 110 incr 2 slope 0.0181818181818182 nextPrice 112
    i 7 curPrice 112 incr 2 slope 0.0178571428571429 nextPrice 114
    i 8 curPrice 114 incr 2 slope 0.0175438596491228 nextPrice 116
    i 9 curPrice 116 incr 2 slope 0.0172413793103448 nextPrice 118
    i 10 curPrice 118 incr 2 slope 0.0169491525423729 nextPrice 120
     
    #10     May 26, 2021
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