Trading today's Fed.... the Powell reaction trade

Discussion in 'ETFs' started by KCalhoun, Dec 15, 2021.

  1. KCalhoun

    KCalhoun

    As usual there's going to be a volatile whipsaw.... then rally or selloff today following the 2:30 announcement (there's usually a 3-wave quick move starting 2:30... knee jerk 5 minute reaction, then countertrend, then major move starting 2:45.)

    My daytrading playbook (not recommendations):

    If bullish reaction I'll buy SVXY and SOXL

    If bearish reaction I'll buy UVXY TZA SQQQ

    Best wishes to all, today's likely to be a tradable FOMC reaction. This one should be especially volatile.

    I expect a minor move up followed by epic selloff; if that occurs I'm aggressively trading UVXY.

    https://www.cnbc.com/2021/12/14/the...very-big-step-toward-its-first-rate-hike.html
     
    Last edited: Dec 15, 2021
    Laissez Faire likes this.
  2. S2007S

    S2007S

    I believe markets already know the fed outcome of the possibility of 2 to 3 rate hikes over the next 18 months so I think the markets will rally, unless he throws in some sudden change today
     
  3. I expect yesterday's range to be taken out in either direction. Possibly both. That's all for today. :)
     
  4. Would be nice to a screen shot of your actual trade executions, with targets and stops, to give us confidence.
     
  5. fan27

    fan27

    What do you mean by "aggressively trading"?
     
  6. I assume he would mean higher risk. Good luck to anyone partaking. I will be sitting it out.
     
  7. RedDuke

    RedDuke

    We are letting our algos to make a decision: “to trade or not to trade”, that is the question:sneaky:
     
  8. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    Bulls blinked.
     
  9. Here's a speculative trade for those so inclined....

    Around the announcement time, place a limit buy "some amount" below the current price... say, 10-ish points.... with a stop you can stomach.... just in case the initial thrash is negative. You may catch a downward spike fill... kind of the "shake-off before the take-off" sort of thing. (Of course you can do the opposite if you're playing for a negative statement.)

    You usually don't get the opportunity to "wait and see how things appear to be panning out". The market will likely be "spiking and thrashing" even if the official FOMC statement is "unchanged".

    FWIW...
     
    Last edited: Dec 15, 2021
    Poljot and PennySnatch like this.
  10. LuckyMac

    LuckyMac

    Ill keep an eye out on how this goes, its similar to a 'straddle' strategy i have heard used on Forex. Trading the breakout of the news
     
    #10     Dec 15, 2021