Trading optionality from first principals

I will run a $20k option portfolio for 2024 based on first principals.

principal 1: the market is always wrong.

I think we go neutral as the least wrong position assuming basically anything linear, anything neutral, predictable,

 

how many millions of option traders have gone down this path, to never have been seen again.

 

In that case, let this be Principle 0

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Normally, there is only one principal at every school.

 

Supposedly the volatility risk premium is real, so it should work, theoretically..

 

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1] I think you meant option market data is all most always wrong LOL;
the cash metals dealers i deal with/ are seldom wrong.But looks like you know your dealers better than me........
And even what appear to be errors\ one dealer likes to round up to nickles I say ' thanks' + dont try to correct them on that rounding gift or error LOL.
NOT that they will give seller a nickle per pound on a truck load of tons LOL.
Good principle