Long. Term. Logarithmic. Chart. See how the red line is fit to the bottom of the '87 crash and the dot.com bust? Warren Buffet consistently admonishes not to bet against America. I did a rough "best fit" (probably better read as "ok fit"--it picks up the pieces after dot.com) line for the red line and again with blue to give a more conservative recent rate of growth. Both are still suggestive of continued gains. It really does a good job of underscoring the magnitude of the 2008 bust. No other crossing of the line comes close to the angle of the perpendicular cross that year. Also, notice the bubbles and the spikes and why they're called such. 20-odd year bull markets have precedent, why can't this be one? For what it's worth, I'm a timid deer around 2,450 running for cover at the slightest scent of bear shit. (*sigh* I can make the argument, but still be irrational enough to succumb to emotion). I appreciate all naysayers to this--inflammatory or constructive. You're my vital check against my own stupidity.
Just to play the Devil's advocate, one could have projected the green line pre-08, and extrapolated the bullish projection forward, using the same logic. The gain did continue -- with a slight hiccup along the way...
Not to be rude...But who cares that far out -- this is a trading forum (not investing), preferably the shorter the time frame the better, or more interesting/sexy ; The name of the game is all about generating as biggest % returns as possible...in the shortest time frame as possible,
%% 50 dma , 200 day moving average trend lines are bullish also ,SPY, QQQ But Looks Like DIA is Going Down -not a prediction.
The ES is heading for a major pullback shortly. All is needed is the "signal" for them to run it down, which it appears is just around the corner!
Modern Trader Magazine, has ES,NQ rated ''trend+'' for month of may.Maybe, but I'm not even sure what the ''+'' means on an uptrend LOL?? Im Bearish for DJ/DIA,; bullish for SPY, but like IBD [Investors Business Daily] noted, DOW is easily manipulated......................................
%% I like long term charts; except NOT just using long term chart alone. It seems like a 2008 bear trend is just noise/slight hiccup LOL. I do NOT see it as devil ish , not putting on 1973, 1974 , unless you did that on purpose ?? LOL
Yes, and with a 50 year horizon, almost anyone could be a millionaire if he/she invested in any one of these stocks: