this is a bear market for 10 years.

Discussion in 'Trading' started by trend2009, Mar 21, 2020.

  1. look at the big chart, the market spent nearly 13 years to jump out of the consolidation between 2000-2013, and then spent 6 years to move another 125%. the momentum of this decline is much stronger than 2000 and 2008. in 2000 and 2008, spy crashed 50%. this time, if the market also goes down 50%, it will be at 1700. since the momentum is stronger, I guess the market will test 1300-1500 area. then we will not see 3400 in next decade.
     
    orbit23, R1234 and KCalhoun like this.
  2. KCalhoun

    KCalhoun

    1700 easy, agree... I'm buying TWM SQQQ... bearish until end of this year at bare bear minimum :p
     
  3. Disagree. Not sure where the bottom is (1850-2000 as of now is my guess).
    But If the market doesn’t see 3400 in the next decade this country will be so fucked.

    The amount of stimulus being thrown around is insane. If/when we get a vaccine or even a treatment the market should rip.
     
    gkishot and Spooz Top 2 like this.
  4. KCalhoun

    KCalhoun

    Right re CV tx will cause RIP, but probably just a couple of weeks, main factor is broken consumer spending, small biz closures, recession

    My new favorite etf is small cap bear TWM, plus AMZN ZM stay home plays

    I am going to scale in aggressively TWM at 2day highs
     
    TooEffingOld likes this.
  5. jharmon

    jharmon

    Are you seriously picking bottoms?

    Stop it.

    [​IMG]
     
    fan27, GregorySG9 and KCalhoun like this.
  6. KCalhoun

    KCalhoun

    Lol... thx... literally and my wife is looking at me like wtf :p
     
  7. trader99

    trader99

    Maybe. But there will be tons of opportunities to go long and short during this "bear" market.

    Take advantage. Fortunes will be lost. Fortunes will be made.
     
  8. Heydrrich

    Heydrrich

    This is why I like bear markets , you don't fomo in as much.
     
  9. jharmon

    jharmon

    This is a trend traders' market. Trade with the trend and consider your stops. If it's too volatile for you - don't trade. If life is more complicated (other job, quarantine, health etc.) then don't trade.
     
    DTB2 and iprph90 like this.
  10. NY_HOOD

    NY_HOOD

    Its extremely easy to get stopped out of positions in this market.
     
    #10     Mar 21, 2020
    10_bagger likes this.