These Hedge Funds Do Better Hedge funds under three years old have delivered additional gains of almost 4 percent annually, according to a study from Preqin and 50 South Capital. Amy Whyte October 29, 2019 Illustration by II Investors are often wary of investing inhedge fundswithout a long track record — but new data show that it’s these funds that are delivering the highest returns. Recently launched hedge funds have outperformed more established funds by almost 4 percent annually since 2012, according to a newstudyfrom data firm Preqin and fund-of-funds manager 50 South Capital. The study compared the performance of established hedge funds with what it calls “early-lifecycle funds” — defined as hedge funds that are less than three years old — between January 2012 and June 2019, covering a total of 1,591 hedge funds across 1,254 managers. “Preqin data shows that, in 2019, only half of hedge fund investors would consider evaluating an early lifecycle hedge fund, and even fewer would actually invest,” the report stated. “When we evaluate the performance of managers in their early years, though, the argument for investing early is very compelling.” [IIDeep Dive: First-Time Private Debt Managers Struggle to Raise Money] According to the study, new hedge funds beat older funds by 3.7 percent on a three-year annualized basis, and outperformed by 4.6 percent over five years. In fact, hedge funds early into their lifecycle beat more established funds in every year included in the study. LNG Unites Global Natural Gas Demand[/paste:font] Even in 2018, when hedge funds and markets as a whole suffered losses, the three-years-and-under group did a better job of protecting investor capital, according to the study. The outperformance was recorded across hedge fund strategies, with one exception: Established macro funds outperformed by 0.49 percent during the 12 month period ending in June 2019. Over the full evaluation period of 2012 to mid-2019, however, early-lifecycle macro funds beat older funds by 10.9 percent. The additional gains recorded by newer hedge funds came with only slightly higher risk, according to Preqin and 50 South Capital. The two firms reported that the standard deviation, or variability in returns, for early-lifecycle funds was 1.2 percent higher than older funds on a three-year basis, and just 0.5 percent higher over five years. Still, they warned that not all new hedge funds will necessarily do well, noting that their data only represent the average fund. “The challenge is finding those with the best chance of outperforming,” the report concluded. “This is where an investor’s network, contacts, and reputation are critical in gaining access and getting early looks at managers.” New Hedge Funds Outperform Early-lifecycle hedge funds beat more established funds between January 2012 and June 2019. Early Lifecycle Hedge Funds Annual Returns Established Hedge Funds Annual Returns 6.68% X 5 10 15% 13.51% 2012 10.47% 16.70% 2013 12.62% 9.47% 2014 4.88% 8.36% 2015 1.50% 9.91% 2016 7.41% 17.11% 2017 10.57% -1.01% 2018 -2.83% 9.03% 2019 6.68% Source:Preqin Pro. Data as of June 2019 https://www.institutionalinvestor.c...torEmail&utm_term=These Hedge Funds Do Better
The 'lesser money' thing is appealing, for sure: light & nimble makes you, y'know -- light and nimble! But something I see often is an inability of 'change-makers' to respond to changing conditions themselves. They see round pegs being mashed into square holes and think, "I can do better than that!" and they go about making a square peg that better fits the hole that the old round ones so abused, "Yay!" them. But when that square hole changes shape? The square-peg change-agents resist, and look to better marketing, more angel funds, higher customer-adoption rates and engagements-per-click and ....... and nothing about assessing the fit of their square peg with the current hole. They recognize change is needed from others, but are blinded by operations to see that (now) change is needed by them. For the hedges and hedge vehicle-writers? They get so involved in sticking to the program that got them where they're at, that they can't/don't want to consider that the market has moved on, and while it would sure be nice if you could say that your product is a 20 year[!!] algorithm, maybe having a 3-5 year algo that actually works would be a lot better. So, I crack up when I see backtests that predate the Great Recession, or "9/11", or the Dot.com boom/BUST, or..... No, no, and NO. When you restructure a market (and thereby, all its machinations for reward and sanction), what worked before can carry no guaranteed shine-of-success forward. Earn your keep today with today's timely method. End_of_sermon_rant_moan_whine_whimper_crank.....
Used to listen to this as mp3 in phone & take hour long walk around the city, during winters evenings ; would always crack me up : (lol, now as well) 29:37 link with missing w ww.youtube.com/watch?v=LtogMv--d4g&t=29m37s (turns out playback is disabled on other websites) And after what he says, here's the irony : back then : they were making, the points of why it would never happen ; now : for the past 2 -3 years, it's non stop Armageddon and Days of Doom are coming.