The original retards of trading: LTCM

Discussion in 'Trading' started by Pekelo, Oct 21, 2020.

  1. Pekelo

    Pekelo

    This post explains using today's terms that you can be a retard with a PhD in finance/economy/math:

     
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  2. Handle123

    Handle123

    I think what most people are pissed at, they can't do it with their little 10k account. However, if they spent five years studying, keeping very open minded and learn risk management, one can lower their overall risk then figure out how to get others to pay for it.

    But who wants to study for five years?

    You can go to California and sell earthquake insurance, if it hits, walk away.
     
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  3. Duh stoopidist guys in da room...
     
  4. I can't read OP's post... have him on ignore.

    However... the "big brains*" behind LTCM were "stupid as a box of rocks". The smartest guys in the room can't even hope to prevail over the markets with 100:1 leverage. All it takes to "bust 'em" is a 1% noise counter-move. Gotta be a fool to hope you can get away with less than that!

    * A "hundred PhDs" they had behind this. Who/what could be smarter? (Well, the Fed claims to have 100 PhDs, and they have yet to see a recession "coming". Ever hear the expression, "A fool and his money are soon parted"?) Pfft!
     
    Last edited: Oct 21, 2020
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  5. bone

    bone

    Yeah, they mistook leverage for genius. Rinse and repeat in 2008.
     
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  6. Nobert

    Nobert

    Newton was a genius.
    Newton also used leverage.(?)
    And also Newton... Blew out :confused:

    Newtongraph_2919316d.jpg

    Guy told to all of his students, to never again , mention any financial securities.
     
  7. bone

    bone

    Newton was flying high until Einstein came along and published a paper in 1905.

     
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  8. traider

    traider

    It's all about incentives. If nothing blows up these phds get millions a year. There is almost no downside for them.
     
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  9. Snuskpelle

    Snuskpelle

    Yepp, that's basically what the asset management industry is all about.
     
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  10. Pekelo

    Pekelo

    Only difference is that he wasn't a financial/option genius like Scholes. Those people at LTCM did this for a living.

    But you bring up a good point. Smart people in one category often think they are smart in several other categories. [cough] Elon Musk [cough] That usually leads to hubris.
     
    #10     Oct 22, 2020
    zghorner likes this.