SP500 DOWN to 2500 and then to 2200

In the next few years, SP500 makes a SHARP and VIOLENT drop down to 2500 first and then 2200.

What do you think? What are the odds of this happening?

 

i wish your prediction is correct, but looks so slim as long as fed continues printing free money. it seems the country is addicted to debt, so fed can not stop printing money. with free money is raining, the stock tree will grow up to sky.

 

just track your portfolio to FED balance sheet, when you see them dropping the degree of liquidity injections, you should see inflections in the market.

 

Sure, anything can happen. If there were some massive cyber-attack knocked the internet offline for a month, the S&P 500 would plummet hard.

If the world started saying to the USA, "you can't run 6% budget deficits and only pay 2% interest on your debt" and yields suddenly screamed higher, stocks prices would violently adjust downwards.

If democrats took office and decided to scrap Trump's tax cuts as unsustainable (which is not unreasonable when you consider current budget deficits), stocks would be repriced lower.

In short, there are lots of reasons why the S&P 500 could be meaningfully lower in the future.

 

The world can't say this because everyone else pays negative interest on their debt.

 

And just as many reasons it could be meaningfully higher. This is the beauty - no one knows!

 

As long as World's central banks keep expanding liquidity, the bull will be dominating the markets, only some world wide surprising negative disrupting reason would be able to create a correction as you call, liquidity is the fuel and they keep pumping it. It seems the debt bubble will keep increasing like there was no tomorrow. Unlike the 2008 crisis, the creditors are the govts, and they control the money, so all seems pink, but no one can see our future time line.

 

Fed, central banks, blah blah blah.

Guys give it up already. The trend is up man. How much money needs to be left on the table for the Fed whiners to just buy.

Do you want to look smart or do you want to make money?????

 

it's ok - threads like this is necessary confirmation that there is still lots of sideline money... these people are butt hurt from missing the biggest bull in our lifetime and they have been praying for a crash.

this is the most hated bull market in memory..... and I am enjoying every day of it.

 

No one will agree with such a violent downturn because the fact this market is only going in one direction, however is it a possibility, sure is. Go back in history and see how quick markets can collapse. And a drop to 2500 would pretty much be a non even after such a long historical run.