Romney 48% Obama 43%

Even Santorum could beat Obama if the election was held today:

http://m.rasmussenreports.com/publi...ministration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

 

1 poll out of 5 has Romney winning .I knew it would be Ramnuessen

 

Once Mitt gets the nom. expect his numbers to go up.

 

Rasmussen Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

"With the perception growing that he will be the GOP nominee, Romney leads President Obama by five points in a hypothetical 2012 matchup. Today's numbers show Romney at 48%, Obama at 43%. That’s Romney’s largest lead since December. Matchup results are updated daily at 9:30 a.m.

If Santorum is the Republican nominee, he is up by one point over the president, 46% to 45%. This is the second time since polling began in 2011 that Santorum has had a slight lead over Obama. Romney is the only other candidate to lead the president more than one time in the polls.

Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel. The margin of sampling error for the full sample of 1,500 Likely Voters is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence."

 

Unlike other polls Ramnuessen is horribly inconsistent

I predict twice this week they will have Obama ahead again

 

In probability and statistics the one with the largest sample size wins.

Rasmussen's polls are remarkably sensitive to what is happening in the news cycle so you will see some volatilty when Obama does something stupid or on the rare occassion when he does something sensible.

As I posted, its a 3-day moving average of 500 people polled per night so the sample size is superior. AK, I live hip-deep in statistics for a living and I'm not about lying or twisting the outcome. I'm just noting that Rasmussen has a large sample-size and is getting this result.

I would just say this, NBC, Politico and the Associated Press have a history of bias towards democrats in their regular reportage and in their polling so I tend to place emphasis on Rasmussen, personally speaking.

 

we've been telling comrade AK that Obama is losing decisively across the most telling polls. Gas prices high, jobs low, independents disappointed and alienated.

Universal insurance Company care instead of universal health care is the crowning achievement.

Obama needs to scrap the income tax and create a low flat tax or its over for him and the dems.

 

Like that's going to happen.

A strengthening economy with real unemployment dropping and energy prices falling back will save Obama. But, I don't see how this confluence of events could occur this year.

Bye bye Obamamama. And the sooner the better!!

 

Its seems to me that the administration is already set to claim that we have a strengthening economy, dropping unemployment and that oil supply has nothing to do with gasoline prices. Viola!

 

Uh oh.