Reverse Splits risk and Value investing

Discussion in 'Trading' started by wxytrader, Jun 19, 2024.

  1. Lets use GME as an example. It was trading @ $3, and you load up with 50k shares. Then they do a 5:1 reverse split so you now have 10k shares @ $15. If your price target was $30 in a few years (forget the meme movement) then your position would be worth 300k. Without the split your position would be worth 1.5M. We can't assume that the market will bake the split into the value, so it's likely the price target will not change. This is because stock price is completely divorced from the value of the company. Worse yet, if price ends up dropping to $3 again your position has now been reduced to 30k! You just lost 120k in value even though nothing has really changed fundamentally about the company.

    NVDA could very easily be back up at pre-split price in a year just because the market thinks it can get back there. The market certainly won't say whoa...we can't go back to 1k unless the company has improved 10x times to compensate for the split. In fact I read somewhere that a certain percentage of companies will return to their pre-split price within a year.

    AAPL on 9 June 2014 7:1 spit @ $656 (31 May 2014)
    So after the split aapl was trading @ $93 and is today trading @ $214.29

    Also is it 10:1 reverse split or 1:10 split? Is it the order of the numbers or the word "reverse"?
     
    Last edited: Jun 19, 2024


  2. ARVL had a 50:1 reverse split so from what I can tell it was at .18 so it opened at $9 post split and is currently trading at .49 a year later.

    So if you had 100k shares @.18 = 18k
    Now you would have 2000 shares @ .49 = $980!
    You would need this to x20 to break even now versus if it x20 without the split you would have made 2M.
     
    Last edited: Jun 19, 2024
  3. zdreg

    zdreg

    It is an example of a reverse split. The first number represents the number of shares currently held. The second number shows the number of new shares.
     
    wxytrader likes this.
  4. taowave

    taowave

    Reverse splits and value Investing???

    Im tempted to take OP off IGNORE for this one...

    Nah
     
    ironchef and Lou Friedman like this.