Results of an incomplete predication method

Discussion in 'Trading' started by 294476635, Jan 4, 2017.

  1. 294476635

    294476635

    I worked with a group of scientists who spend our spare time on quantitative finance researches. With the approaches in quantum entanglement and quantum field theories, significant progressions were made in 2014, and we have being forward testing it for more than one year. Here are a list of pros and cons of our current predication method:

    Pro:
    {C}1.The hit-rate of our predication is more than 70%.

    Cons:
    {C}1.The predication is only acquirable during specific market conditions. Thus in approximately one-third of trading days, we are unable to reach any predications.
    {C}2.It is hard to make more than one predication per day due to limitations.
    {C}3.The current method only predicts the direction of market, but not yet the volatility or daily-range.

    We are going to post our daily predication and historical predications. For example:

    EU direction: short
    0:00 am 10 am EST
    Jan 04

    EU means EURUSD; short means the price of EU at 10am is lower than the price at 0:00 am. If the price at 10 am is actually lower, the prediction is correct. Otherwise, the prediction is wrong.

    NOTICE: The information provided by us should be strictly kept for academic only, NON-commercial use. We are not recommending any investment ideas, trading systems, or broker-dealers. Past accuracy does not guarantee future success. The publication of predication may negatively affect the accuracy.

    I will post the full history of prediction during the forward-testing phase, when I get time.

    20170104

    0:00 - 10:00 EURUSD short
     
  2. Maverick74

    Maverick74

    Without distribution, the outcome is useless. Come on, if you are a data scientist you know this.
     
    bone and Xela like this.
  3. Good luck. Be sure to post these signals before 0:00 every night.

    Also are those times in UTC?

    And it would be worthwhile is you posted in more fx pairs than one.
     
  4. Xela

    Xela

    Call me pedantic, but "prediction" and "predication" are two completely different words with two completely different meanings.
     
  5. 294476635

    294476635

    Later when I have time, I will post the full history and stats.

    I am not a data scientist personally
     
  6. 294476635

    294476635

    Sorry for the spelling mistake but I really don't have much time for proofreading
     
  7. Sig

    Sig

    Quantum entanglement is a neat phenomenon. It has as much to do with predicting market direction as tunneling electrons, black holes, and Heisenberg's uncertainty principle. If you had any idea what it was you'd realize how rediculous your post is. But then you probably know that and are just counting on the highly technical sounding term to sucker some people in. This is snake oil of the highest order everyone!
     
    bone likes this.
  8. userque

    userque

    Generally speaking:

    Regardless as to whether the thing is real, or snake oil; can we at least let them post some forecasts before running them off the board? Doth thou trigger finger haveth no patience? A guy just said he can do something amazing; don't you want to see the show before crucifying them--if crucifying folks is your thing?

    If it's snake oil, then the forecasts will give you greater ammo with which to crucify them--if that's your thing. If the forecasts are accurate...well, that should lead to some interesting discussions--discussions that wouldn't be possible if a crucifixion had first taken place.
     
    wrbtrader and Xela like this.
  9. Xela

    Xela


    Everything you say here is without question completely logical, sensible and reasonable.

    The realities of people's experiences, however, predicate that they become jaded and cynical through having "been there, heard that" so many times before. Unfortunate, perhaps; possibly even unfair, but it is what it is.
     
    userque likes this.
  10. Sig

    Sig

    No, if someone posts something batshit crazy then we shouldn't let them continue to try to rip off more people, not at all! If I said I had a pair of butterfly siblings that I had separated at birth, moved one to Singapore and one to New York, and was predicting the market based on a complex mathematical formula painstakingly derived based on the number of times each flaps it's wings I'd be either deluded or trying to delude you (this is actually a pretty good analogy for what they're saying they're doing, by the way). If I pulled random numbers out of my ass they'd be right some percentage of the time by pure chance, which would be no reflection on the clearly deluded method of selection I used to obtain them. This is fraud pure and simple, and there is no reason to "wait, let them show us if they're accurate". I mean seriously, I pass several random people claiming that the world will end at various times, do they all deserve to be taken seriously until their predictions prove false? There are hundreds of penny stock manipulators on any number of investment boards, do they all deserve to be taken seriously until proven otherwise? Are you really that gullible?
     
    #10     Jan 4, 2017