Red Flags Or False Alarm: Where’s The Recession?

Discussion in 'Economics' started by Nobert, Feb 25, 2023.

  1. Nobert

    Nobert

     
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  2. blink18

    blink18

    The last 10 times the US had 2 or more consecutive quarters of negative Real GDP growth, the economy was in a recession. It doesn't matter what those bald gray hair economists say on TV.
     
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  3. M.W.

    M.W.

    Useless comment. The definition of recession itself is in an economy where the real GDP growth in two consecutive quarters is negative. Just a definition.

     
  4. notagain

    notagain

    Working class depression, by a gov't that enriches its donors at the publics expense.
    Workers disposable income will never increase under this commie Biden regime.
     
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  5. blink18

    blink18

    The point is not in a definition. In Q2 1947 and Q3 1947 were two consecutive GDP negative quarters. Was it followed with a recession? No. The point is in high probability of forecasting a recession.
     
  6. M.W.

    M.W.

    You think it increases under Trump or other conservatives? It would be equally bad as corporates and lobbyists would exercise total control.

     
  7. M.W.

    M.W.

    You created a controversy where there is none. I never claimed recessions are a reliable indicator of worse to come.

     
  8. There has been an agreed upon definition for recession decades.

    Anyone not using it should not be trusted.

    Depression is the term with no solid definition.
     
    murray t turtle likes this.
  9. nitrene

    nitrene

    How can there be a recession when 500K are being added? Only when it turns negative can there be a real recession.

    The travel companies are still booming and with China coming back online soon a recession seems unlikely. That probably explains the rise in stocks since October.
     
  10. M.W.

    M.W.

    Did you not fuxxing read? The definition was presented right before your eyes twice. Pay attention...

     
    #10     Feb 25, 2023