Optimal Withdrawal rate based on returns and maximum drawdown

Discussion in 'Risk Management' started by Gazillionaire, Jan 26, 2021.

  1. My trading returns is about 50% monthly(alpha) and maximum historical drawdown is about 20%. Is there a mathematical way to define the optimal withdrawal rate X%(say when profit level reach y%) to avoid risk of 50% ruin? i.e. how to find X% & y% for the best balance between risk vs compounding rate?
    For e.g, withdrawing 50% of monthly profits if returns=50%/max drawdown=25% and only compound the rest of the profits...
    i.e. simplified Withdrawal rate=the inverse of calmar ratio.
    Is there a better Withdrawal strategy/bankroll management to avoid 50% drawdown?
    This is my day trading account which is 33% of my funds that I am willing to risk half of it before I halt trading this account completely.
     
    zghorner likes this.
  2. newwurldmn

    newwurldmn

    The optimal is zero.

    Earn 12,900 percent and then Withdraw enough to pay your taxes. Do it again. And again.
     
    Amatrue and stochastix like this.
  3. ph1l

    ph1l

    Then in a few years, he can decide which private island continent to buy.:rolleyes: