1.8 million infections for NYC sounds like optimistic news. But 1/5th of all US deaths have been in New York City. This would suggest the infection total for the whole of the US is 1.8 x 5 = 9 million This is consistent with studies from Colorado and Stanford which showed only 2 to 3% of the population has anti bodies. NYC antibody test results also suggest a true death rate of around 0.6%.
It is bad news. Means maintaining some levels of social distancing until we either reach herd immunity or a vaccine is found. And future lockdowns in any populated areas where there are large new outbreaks.
Yeah but a lot of the tested either ......... 1. had it still with no symptoms or maybe with mild! (Within 7days) 2. Hadn't recovered from it long enough for enough antibodies to be picked up by the test ( 7 - 28days depending on who's right ) So basically, your saying 2-3weeks ago 21.2% of NYC, in 2 - 3 week it would of doubled if not tripled so 40-60% area. And other thread your saying flu 0.1% and this is 25-30x's worse than flu so 2.5-3%, where above your quoting 0.6%, make your mind up. I expect 0.1% USA and about 0.05% UK so Flu x's 2.
Your posts sound more and more desperate. How deep in the hole are your long positions? Im sorry about your losses, but the big rally you are hoping for isnt coming anytime soon.
Yet again, I scalp, I have no long term positions, not a 1, don't believe in predicting markets. No those sadly are the facts, just because you want to believe the markets. What is it your estimate 0.6% or 2.5% to 5%, come on, you really can't handle maths can you, product of a US school system, 100% ego, 0% ability.
haha, and this is why the market moves opposite our wishes. I thought the numbers were pretty good myself (relatively high) as I dismissed Turveyd type wishes of wide spread contagion as asinine.
Currently we have Experts, which are going, Peak was 2weeks ago, all is fine nearly over. Then we have scared muppets, going OMG we are all going to die, and demanding more lockdowns till the end of the year!! Even the Swedish guy has been on, you started on the right track, then your snowflake population got scared and you screwed it all up. But still the muppets, get the say, I hate stupid people that go out there way to make shit better, but there stupid and they just screw everything up.
LOL Go check on the Antibody testing Lag time, 14-35days of annoying lag, the lag is a nightmare to work around. If I'm right which I generally am, then it's much higher than that 40-60%, not as high as I'd of liked but much higher than the 3% you lot feared.
These CV anti body tests look for both types of antibodies. The short term ones and the long term ones.