The US commercial real estate market has been in turmoil since the onset of the Covid-19 pandemic. But New York Community Bancorp delivered a reminder that some lenders are only just beginning to see the pain. The bank’s decisions to slash its dividend and stockpile reserves sent its stock down a record 38% and dragged the KBW Regional Banking Index to its worst day since the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank last March. Japanese lender Aozora Bank Ltd. added to the property jitters by warning of a loss tied to investments in US commercial real estate, sending shares plunging in Asia trading. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/arti...on-real-estate-warning-for-banks?srnd=premium Well, at least no Level 3 paper and other WMD financial products aka subprime CMBS and other crap
I'm sure if it gets really bad the Fed will just bring back their junk vehicle like Maiden Lane I & II and just buy the toxic assets.
(Bloomberg) Real Estate Concerns The market’s response to the Fed has been complicated by renewed jitters over US commercial real estate. New York Community Bancorp threatened to grab the headlines away from the central bank yesterday as its decisions to slash its dividend and stockpile reserves sent its stock down a record 38% and dragged the KBW Regional Banking Index to its worst day since the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank last March. Those moves, which rippled through to global bond markets, were partly driven by worries over commercial real estate, which may grow further after a pair of banks also voiced concerns overnight. Tokyo-based Aozora Bank plunged more than 20% after warning of a loss tied to investments in US commercial property, while Germany’s Deutsche Bank more than quadrupled its US real estate loss provisions to €123 million.
Hedge Funds With 2,000% Leverage Catch EU Watchdog’s Eye https://www.bloomberg.com/news/arti...-000-leverage-are-catching-the-eu-s-attention European regulators are closely following a group of hedge funds with exposure to mortgage bonds and average gross leverage in excess of 2,000%, a position so large it risks impacting markets. The funds predominantly are buyers in rising markets and sellers during a downturn, according to a report Tuesday by the European Securities and Markets Authority about the risk posed by leveraged alternative investment funds. It’s an approach to trading that tends to compound market moves and can be an added source of instability. The group represents as much as 15% of trading in the local mortgage-backed note market, the regulator said, without identifying which jurisdictions or specific funds. Their share has remained stable throughout recent episodes of stress, including the pandemic and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the report added.
How do you know? As warren Buffett used to say until the tide goes out you don't know who is swimming naked
The general S&P market now starting to realize the Fed, at this point, doesnt plan on repaying that 34trillion. And they are "all in" now. Your statement is very correct. If it even hints of any real problem, the Fed will do a Maiden Lane again...buy it all. Actually..in light of this general market feeling...that "zero risk S&P" thread needs to be revived. It was an all time thread on ET and now has new meaning.