MBLY

Discussion in 'Options' started by oldnemesis, Mar 2, 2016.

  1. http://www.cnbc.com/2016/02/24/the-associated-press-mobileye-tops-street-4q-forecasts.html

    http://www.investors.com/news/techn...look-light/?ven=YahooCP&src=AURLLED&ven=yahoo

    http://finance.yahoo.com/news/fbr-cuts-mobileyes-price-target-124204353.html

    http://seekingalpha.com/article/3944626-mobileye-bottomed

    http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=mbly

    Trade:
    With MBLY at 33.17
    Sept 20/15 bull put spread for a net credit of $45
    Yield = 45/455 = 9.9% in 198 days or 18.2% annualized
    Prob = 79%
    Expectation = .79(45) - .08(455) - .13(228) = 35.6 - 36.4 - 29.6 = -30.4

    Price............. Profit / Loss.......... ROM %
    10.00................ (455.00)............ -90.10%
    15.00................ (455.00)............ -90.10%
    17.05................ (250.20)............ -50.04%
    19.55..................... 0.00................ 0.00%
    20.00.................... 45.00............... 9.90%
    25.00.................... 45.00............... 9.90%
    30.00.................... 45.00............... 9.90%
    35.00.................... 45.00............... 9.90%
    40.00.................... 45.00............... 9.90%

    I believe MBLY will be bought within the next six months.
     
  2. Zestilio

    Zestilio

    added to $MBLY short, swing party is over here.