Lurking a bit on Twitter lately and it seems like everyone's getting it wrong.

Discussion in 'Educational Resources' started by Laissez Faire, Apr 25, 2023.

  1. I'm not very active on Twitter, but decided to check it out a bit over the last few days. I follow only a few people, but it seems like I'm flooded by random posts related to trading and the impression I'm getting is that people (amateurs and professisonals alike) are all over the place. Many are looking for the next major leg down while an equal amount are looking for the next rally higher. Mostly each group appears to be looking for clues to support their thesis and ignoring evidence to the contrary.

    In summary, everyone appears to be guessing and nobody seems to be getting it right. At least consistently, which is what it's all about.

    Reminds me of when Nicolas Darvas became a full time trader with an office on Wall Street and was subject to all type of rumors and chatter being close to the action and saw a huge decrease in performance by actually listening to people's opinions. I don't remember the exact story, but I think he dropped the office and went back to what he was doing originally which was merely following and trading the market with comlete disregard for news, chatter and rumors.

    If anyone can recommend someone that would be interesting to follow on Twitter, by all means come with your recommendation, but personally I think I will stop reading it and if at all I will limit it to weekend reading.
     
    zdreg, nitrene and Sekiyo like this.
  2. JamesJ

    JamesJ

    Imo there is no market direction guru, as this is just impossible consistently.
    I follow some for entertaining purposes.
    Two real traders that do post PnL and not just handsight garbage like many who try to sell something are:

    https://twitter.com/KrisVerma88
    https://twitter.com/madaznfootballr

    Both not really succesful lately, they made a lot in 2020 (and part of 2021) and are struggling since.
     
    Laissez Faire likes this.
  3. In a sideways, slop trading range... basic Price TA says to, "buy the bottom of the range, sell the top of the range". Ignore all else.

    FWIW...
     
    Laissez Faire likes this.
  4. Did you buy the bottom of the range today or did you "chase the breakout"?
     
  5. Neither. The bottom of this range is ES 4100... Top Of Range is 4200.
     
    Last edited: Apr 25, 2023
    Laissez Faire likes this.
  6. Specterx

    Specterx

    This is something I have heard from experienced traders over the years, and also found to be true myself.

    The caveat is that one does want to keep a finger on the pulse of the market(s) traded to an extent, in terms of sentiment, positioning, and expectations. However, consuming a live random stream of consciousness from other traders (especially short-term traders) has no value whatsoever, and is just a source of noise, distraction, and second-guessing. This is true even if the other traders are profitable, which most aren't.
     
  7. nitrene

    nitrene

    That Darvas story sounds right from what I remember. The amazing thing about Darvas was he made most of his money from the days when he was a Ballet dancer and trading based on weekly Barrons prices he got while he was mainly a dancer in Asia.
     
    Laissez Faire likes this.
  8. easymon1

    easymon1

  9. Sounds more fun than staring at charts all day long... :)
     
  10. TheDawn

    TheDawn

    Twitter is just like your username: Laissez Faire so you get all kinds of opinions, ideas, observations, all over the place, everything everywhere all at once and everybody thinks they are a guru. LOL

    So needless to say, I don't follow anyone on Twitter nor can I recommend anyone to follow on there especially for financial advice. Hell, I don't even follow Twitter at all. Way too confusing for me. You never know which message is for which or to whom and etc.
     
    Last edited: Apr 25, 2023
    #10     Apr 25, 2023
    Laissez Faire likes this.