How does everyone feel about long ITM strangles on the likes of SPY, IWM and QQQ? I know theta is the killer but the known risk and direction neutral open is very appealing. Thoughts please. Thx
IMO: Similar to accuracy of predicting large increase in VIX! Akin to predicting earthquakes more than 1 hour in advance. No reliable data.
If you're looking for action , which sometimes I do when in a slow period, look at the weekly options. Ferret a very liquid, ATM long straddle on a high beta stock (you need a severe gyration), late Thursday afternoon (3:55PM). And make sure you close Friday morning before 10:30AM or risk losing the whole thing to theta .
If I do one this week (things have been really slow this month, so far) I'll post Thursday. I do have my eye on TECK (beta 3.6).
And if long strangles don't work then short strangles must be a sure thing. Everything works if you leg in. Perverts pay to see you naked.
That's "straddle"... I got 'em confused too, early on. But there was this gal, see........ a redhead with green eyes.........