Is it even possible to be this far off? You know, without just making up fantasy numbers. Meet the Pollster Who Convinced Republicans There Would Be a Red Wave Turns out he was super-duper wrong. About almost everything. Whoops! https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2022/11/trafalgar-group-terrible-polling-2022.html Let’s review some polls issued by the Atlanta-based Trafalgar Group in the weeks before Election Day, then compare them to actual results. (All percentages are as of publication time.) (Lengthy article)
As I stated in another thread Treflagar’s claim to fame was calling Florida in 2020 but it was dumb luck. Florida jerked right faster than anyone understood and it made traflagar’s republican leaning polls look insightful. They weren’t.