http://finance.yahoo.com/news/kroger-q3-earnings-beat-revenue-161104980.html http://news.investors.com/120315-78...gs-vies.htm?ven=yahoocp&src=aurlled&ven=yahoo http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=kr http://www.msn.com/en-us/money/stockdetails/financials/fi-126.1.KR.NYS Trade: with KR at 40.55 Apr 35/32.5 bull put spread for a net credit of $25 Yield = 25/225 = 11.1% in 132 days or 31% annualized Prob = 90% Expectation = .9(25) - .03(225) - .07(112) = 22.5 - 6.8 - 7.8 = 7.9 Price............ Profit / Loss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