Is this the perfect time to invest? (Newbie)

Discussion in 'Trading' started by RastaMouse, Feb 28, 2020.

  1. Hi guys,

    Maybe a silly question and I know I'm gonna get quite varied opinions on this but is this the perfect time to invest in the SP500? I've been looking at the stock market for about a year and remember guys saying the markets usually have a correction every 10 years and one is due. So, is right now the best time to invest? Or should I wait it out a little longer to see how far this corona virus goes first? I've got like £50K I could invest but this my life savings so I'm trying to be cautious and not jump the gun. Thanks guys
     
    Last edited: Feb 28, 2020
  2. easymon1

    easymon1

  3. gaussian

    gaussian

    The person who makes regular contributions will outperform the market timer on almost every measure. The only way you can get better performance in passive investing is by:

    1. Picking a set of good stocks and investing into them regularly.
    2. Picking the exact bottom of the market every time for the next 30+ years.

    Just keep buying what you're buying. If the market goes to zero it won't matter anyway.
     
    ET180, gkishot and RastaMouse like this.
  4. Sekiyo

    Sekiyo

    Perfect time ?
    What do you mean by that ?

    Are you willing to risk another 15-30% sell off ?
    Are you going to buy cash or on margins ?

    If I were you I’d wait another 15-30% sell off.
    But we might never get there ...

    You might buy right now,
    Put a stop loss below at 2800
    6%Risk vs 18%Reward at All Time High.
     
    RastaMouse likes this.
  5. Sekiyo

    Sekiyo

    Otherwise buy 1/3 cash now.
    Another later and the third later.
     
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  6. Sekiyo

    Sekiyo

    But as you can see it’s a minor “correction”.
    CDD3FC90-679B-4B86-9982-CA342A89DCE1.jpeg
     
    RastaMouse likes this.
  7. Well, I know we can never know when the "perfect time" is, but I just mean it appears there has been a massive correction. From what I've been told the SP500 has always come back stronger in the end so I guess I'm just saying is this a strong dip to start investing with a high chance of profiting from it in the long term. I'm guessing most of you guys are regular/experienced traders and have probably seen these kinds of things before so I'm just trying to get a knowledgeable opinion. I know no one can predict the actual outcome, but if I get an overall idea of everyone's view on here then at least I have a rough idea of how this could pan out. Thanks for the replies so far.
     
    Sekiyo likes this.
  8. Sekiyo

    Sekiyo

    I am not a market wizard but I wouldn’t reject the hypothesis that the market trade under 2950 between now and January 2031 (As per the chart).

    I would personally wait for the market to trade around the bottom of the trend line to put my life’s savings into it.

    At worst you should lose 50%.
    For an unlimited upside but we ain’t immortal.

    50% is what I lost with cryptocurrency.
    Was just 10K but it’s more volatile than stocks.
    Meaning more unlimited upside and faster lmao
    But I don’t advise to put 100% life savings.
    Maybe 5% or 10%. It’s another story.
     
    RastaMouse likes this.
  9. guru

    guru

    I don’t think it’s a good time. We’ll see really poor corporate earnings during next couple quarters, since people won’t be traveling or going out and spending money, while the upcoming elections won’t help either.
    I’d wait at least 3 months, but 6-9 months would be more reasonable.
    That’s just my personal opinion though.
     
    RastaMouse likes this.
  10. notagain

    notagain

    No, not 100% of your money in one basket. Wait for another 200 week moving average rebound.
    Screen Shot 2020-02-28 at 9.48.58 PM.png
     
    #10     Feb 28, 2020
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