At some point bull markets transition to bear markets, but where exactly? Well... Remember the merger of Time Warner with AOL? That marked a market top and start of a bear market. (Why would THAT trigger a market top? I dunno.... but it did.. or at least was coincident.) Remember the collapse of the Thai Bhat? What the Hell is that? Small country's currency crash started a domino-effect that smashed the entire world marketplace. Well, it happened. So what about now. This Trump tariff has the POTENTIAL to be a big turning point. We don't know just now, but maybe.... I dunno anything fore sure... JMV at this time. Suggest cooling your jets on aggressively BTFD for a bit and to get a feel on how things might be playing out before committing investment capital. FWIW...
This is the market where you'll see volatility in spy trade 400 points intraday. .....could happen when you least expect. The trend is down but I wouldn't rule out a coiled spring extreme rally that has shorts covering. Look at the 10 yr....wheeeeeeee
i lived that we had the same strike price short options that he did, the difference was we had the money for margin call... bear watch at 5223 ES bear alert at 5000
When you see the technician analysis chart line movement turn around the curve... That's the bottom top of the market.. your moment in life to bet it all with options and get rich Trading is easy, more people should be doing it and living their best life
The tariffs were the mechanism that changed the bull market..but when they said a gaming chip would change the entire world, that AI would take over ''all the general work of humans''..that WAS the Time Warner-AOL moment. Some of it is the market pricing in ''too much future prediction''. At the time in 2000, people were still reading magazines, Hollywood was still making sitcoms and real movies, people were still reading newspapers. So it was too drastic to believe that the internet (AOL) would put all of those huge industries out of business by digitalizing them online. So the market had gotten too far ahead of itself. But it did eventually happen. Today..believing AI will take over all general daily tasks is prolly going to far too quickly. But, it will eventually happen. The game chip will rule because life will basically be virtual at that point in the future. Right after the Time Warner - AOL peak and bubble burst, The next president became so flustered that he made several horrible mistakes...bringing the USA into bankruptcy and starting this long slide into massive national debt. Almost every other president of the USA had had to endure the popping of a market bubble since 2000. And how they deal with it has been a circus to behold.