Ill Conceived GOOG Earnings Trade

Just fitting the histogram over the last 12 cycles.


Post your own fill if you've got something better. I'm guessing this way to trading has a very small positive edge. Hence the <1% position.

 

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GOOG = big holding in QQQ;
big hit\ both hit post market. Main trend = bear trend

 

100% loss.

 

That happens

 

INTC new lows last couple of earnings. Down at least 5% last 10/12 earnings. Market's offering 3:1 odds that it doesn't happen again. OK.