Goodbye 2022 -- and good riddance. Markets close out their worst year since 2008

Discussion in 'Wall St. News' started by gwb-trading, Dec 30, 2022.

  1. gwb-trading

    gwb-trading

    Goodbye 2022 -- and good riddance. Markets close out their worst year since 2008
    Wall Street has said goodbye -- and good riddance -- to 2022, a year most investors would rather forget.
    https://www.wral.com/stocks-are-having-their-worst-year-since-2008-bonds-are-even-worse/20649303/

    CNN — Wall Street has said goodbye — and good riddance — to 2022, a year most investors would rather forget.

    All three major averages were down on Friday, clocking their worst year since 2008 and ended a three-year winning streak.

    The Dow fell 73 points, or 0.2% Friday, the last trading day of the year. In 2022, the Dow fell about 9%.

    The S&P 500 was 0.3% lower Friday, leaving it down about 20% for the year.

    The Nasdaq Composite Index was down 0.1% Friday, close to its lowest level since July 2020. The tech-heavy index has been battered this year, falling 33%.

    European stocks also closed out the year on a sour note, down 11.8%, securing their worst annual run since 2018.

    Few safe havens for investors

    Russia's invasion of Ukraine, snarled supply chains and another year of Covid turned markets on their head this year. Inflation surged around the globe and central banks hiked rates at a historic pace to keep price hikes from spiraling out of control. China, the world's second-largest economy, periodically shut down entire cities to contain the pandemic. Energy supplies were cut off, but recession fears send demand falling in the second half of the year anyway. Intense storms and climate change upended markets, too.

    That left few safe places for investors to park their money.

    And while stocks had a miserable year, bonds fared even worse. Inflation, massive rate hikes and a super-strong dollar left bonds unattractive to investors.

    The return on the S&P US Treasury Bond Index was -10.7% in 2022. The 30-year US Treasury bond, at its low, sunk to its worst return, -35%, in a century. Corporate bonds had a miserable 2022, too: The return on bonds issued by S&P 500 companies was -14.2% this year. The Bloomberg Aggregate US Bond Index had its worst year since the index's inception in 1977, according to FactSet.

    Inflation, which briefly rose above 9% in the United States — a 40-year high — hurt economic growth, even as consumers continued to spend. But it mostly damaged corporate profits.

    S&P 500 companies' earnings are expected to have grown just 5.1% this year, well below the average annual increase of 8.5% that Wall Street posted over the past 10 years, according to John Butters, senior earnings analyst at FactSet.

    Energy, which boomed as oil and gas prices surged earlier this year, made up the entirety of Wall Street's profit gains. Excluding energy, S&P 500 earnings would have fallen 1.8% this year, Butters predicted.

    Middling-to-miserable profits sent stocks sharply lower throughout the year. Global equity markets lost $33 trillion in value from their peaks.

    Generac Holdings, an energy technology solution company, is the worst performing stock in the S&P 500 this year, down about 74%. Coming in second is dating app company Match Group, down 70%.

    Growth stocks, or shares of companies that are expanding their business quickly, got hammered particularly hard. Investors value these firms based on expectations for future profits. Those look less enticing in a world in which interest rates are going up.

    Elon Musk's Tesla is down about 70%, making the auto tech company the third-worst performer this year. Meta, Facebook's parent company, also makes an appearance in the bottom 10 stocks — down 64% in 2022.

    That's a huge shake-up: At the start of this year, Tesla was the fifth-most valuable company in the S&P 500 and Meta was sixth. Tesla is now the 11th most-valuable firm in the index and Meta is in 19th place.

    Even Amazon, Apple and Microsoft — tech names that have become staples for investors — took major knocks as investors adjusted to an environment in which rates were rising.

    There were some winners. The energy sector has returned more than 60% this year, significantly outperforming every other S&P 500 sector. No other sector has gained even 5% year-to-date.

    Occidental Petroleum has been the biggest gainer in the S&P 500, up about 120% this year. Constellation Energy is in second place, up about 110%, and Hess comes in third with a gain of around 95%.

    As the sheen came off markets, one of the biggest stories has been the disastrous meltdown in cryptocurrencies. After a dramatic run-up in 2021 to record highs (remember the dogecoin rally?), investors were confronted with an epic collapse. The implosion of parts of the industry once viewed as relatively stable, such as Sam Bankman-Fried's FTX exchange, sent traders running for cover.

    Crypto insiders acknowledge it will probably take years to rebuild confidence. As regulators circle, the heady days of minting profits off memes feel like a distant memory.
     
  2. schizo

    schizo

    Good riddance, you guys are such pussies. Just look at that damn chart below. Nasdaq shot up by more than 1500%! What do you have to complain about? What, you think markets can only go up? Consider it this way, the FED gave free money away for the last 12 years and they've taken some of that away in 2022. I'm sure they'll turn the money printer back on in due course.

    Such friggin' whinos. :rolleyes:

    upload_2022-12-30_14-38-59.png
     
    comagnum, Windlesham1 and Darc like this.
  3. Sounds like a buying opportunity to me!!!
     
  4. Businessman

    Businessman

    If things are similar to the year 2000 nasdaq bubble pop we might have another two more nasty down years for the nasdaq.

    Personally i'm not sure about
    two more but i think we might get another 30% fall in 2023, to test the covid lows around 7000.

    We need to see some sort of capitulation to mark an extreme bear market low, shake out the weak longs and dip buyers and also force the Fed to pivot.

    Nasdaq yearly returns (note the three -30% down years in a row back in the early 2000s):


    2023 ???
    2022 -32.97 <- First down year after the bubble top

    2021 26.63
    2020 47.58
    2019 37.96
    2018 -1.04
    2017 31.52
    2016 5.89
    2015 8.43
    2014 17.94
    2013 34.99
    2012 16.82
    2011 2.70
    2010 19.22
    2009 53.54
    2008 -41.89
    2007 18.67
    2006 6.79
    2005 1.49
    2004 10.44
    2003 49.12
    2002 -37.58
    2001 -32.65
    2000 -36.84 <- First down year after the nasdaq bubble top
     
    Last edited: Dec 30, 2022
  5. maxinger

    maxinger

    Goodbye 2022 -- and good riddance.
    Markets close out their worst year since 2008 : Investor

    --->

    Goodbye 2022 -- and so sad to see you go.
    ES closed out with a decent average day range of 80 points (2%)
    vs 50 points (5%) in 2008 : trader

     
    virtusa and Darc like this.
  6. Businessman

    Businessman

    2022 could just be a warm up for 2003, the VIX could go over 40/50/60 as the bear market finally bottoms. We could see some really big daily ranges if that happens.
     
    Last edited: Dec 30, 2022
  7. TheDawn

    TheDawn

    S&P 500 is down 19.44% to be exact since Dec. 31, 2021. This is no indication of your trading/investment performance though unless you are a passive index trader/investor.
     
  8. Darc

    Darc

    Alot of people would like another 2022 Trading wise. Massive swings long or short to be caught and profited from.
     
    volente_00 likes this.
  9. Overnight

    Overnight

    That is now a permanent feature of the stock market. Never again will the ES be stuck in a 5-10 point daily range. EVER. That has not happened since Powell took the helm in Feb 2018, and is ancient history. Even more pronounced after we got the breaker-shocks of COVID Spring 2020. Damn, that was a real trip! (Get it? Trip? Tripping? Hahaa!)

    Your huge range days are here forever. That is my personal guarantee.
     
    #10     Dec 30, 2022
    monee and Darc like this.