Gold vs VIX

Discussion in 'Trading' started by guru, Aug 9, 2020.

  1. guru

    guru

    Interesting strategy:
    https://www.quora.com/Is-there-any-...e-used-in-a-pair-trade/answer/Aaron-Brown-165
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    Q: Is there any relationship between the volatility index and gold, and can securities that are either long or short on these factors be used in a pair trade?

    A: They are good pair trade candidates because they are cointegrated but close to uncorrelated. When gold sells for more than 80 times the VIX (e.g. gold above $1,600 while VIX is below 20%) go long VIX and short gold; when gold sells for less than 80 times the VIX, go long gold and short VIX.
    [​IMG]
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    zenlot, xandman, clacy and 1 other person like this.
  2. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    Not sure how he calculated the yearly return since Gold lost 45% 2011-2015

    Anyone 9.7% annual nothing to brag about.
     
  3. xandman

    xandman

    9.7% with 8.1% STD beats SPY at 13.74% return with 13.29% STD by about 16% in risk-adjusted total return.

    Still, he is creating a ratio between a normalized and non-normalized series. Oops.
     
    Last edited: Aug 9, 2020
  4. guru

    guru

    The person who answered that question did mention that this isn't a practical strategy, so I think it was just something quickly put together for illustrative purposes.
    For me it was just interesting that such specific conclusions can be made about Gold vs VIX relationship. I was generally aware of it, but without such specific examples. So it may be something just to keep in the back of my mind.
     
  5. xandman

    xandman

    Gold- VIX relationship is definitely a good topic. Specially for current this market era.
     

  6. Yeah gold being an inflation adjusted thing by its very nature, and VIX not at all, seems to kill any interest I might otherwise have in this lol.
     
  7. maxinger

    maxinger

    Unfortunately and as usual, this correlation study is far far too slow.
    gold has been going up since 5 months ago and has appreciated by massive 40%.

    It is too late to do any studies.
     
  8. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    As well as between, most likely, a tradable (Gold Futures) and non-tradable instrument (VIX index). All very theoretical.