Getting suckered into buying..

Discussion in 'Trading' started by NY_HOOD, Mar 20, 2020.

  1. NY_HOOD

    NY_HOOD

    today is a great example. A huge down day and traders think stocks that closed green means they bottomed. I have seen this many times, it means nothing.
    A stock goes up 2 points on a 900 point down day on no news gives traders a false sense of security. In reality it can go down 5 points on moday.
     
    KCalhoun, kmiklas and murray t turtle like this.
  2. %%
    A good time to buy some + have some shorts/inverse ETFs. IF I knew it was going to finish down that strong-, I would have kept even more of my inverse ETFs. …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………...
     
  3. When you do this too often, you should stop upload_2020-3-20_18-16-57.png
     
  4. KCalhoun

    KCalhoun

    I bought SQQQ VXX TVIX plus MGM PENN & oil, gold etfs small for weekend hold, mostly cash .. probably red Monday but could bounce... exciting times to trade
     
  5. ironchef

    ironchef

    I guess you have not heard of averaged down, or doubled down. I just did. :banghead:
     
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  6. Oh I have heard about it, and it's a valid strategy if executed judiciously but I think under one of the following conditions:

    1. You are using dollar-cost averaging (overall, this dip may not be but a blip)
    2. You have deep, deep pockets and can keep buying for years
    3. Your timing is impeccable and you are wrong only 5% of the time

    I can't imagine it works in any other circumstance. Better to take a $50K loss than turn it into a $500K loss.

    This idiot has been "forecasting" hopium trades for the last 3 weeks and just put the last of his money in last week:

    https://twitter.com/TheProphetGod

    upload_2020-3-20_23-47-48.png

    Overall of course, a 30% decline is a great buying opportunity. But this could be a 1929-type circumstance. Too early to tell. I'd rather buy on the way up. The average will be the same, the drawdown will be less.
     
    Last edited: Mar 20, 2020
    cdcaveman likes this.
  7. ironchef

    ironchef

    I have a bad habit: I like bargains. Can't pass up a "good deal" so usually bought on the way down.

    I am actually serious. Mostly I regret it afterward, like GE, WFM, RAD, fortunately no BA or TSLA. :D
     
  8. I was the same until I realized that the pain of drawdown is completely unnecessary for the most part. Also I am still the same, but I have to fight it.
     
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