FX Funamental Price Forecast - Need more frequent data

Discussion in 'Strategy Building' started by bscully27, Jan 26, 2014.

  1. To model the FX spot price of USDCAD, I am using the following data points:
    GDP
    TradeAccount
    CPI
    Employment
    Housing
    etc

    Many of these categories only have monthly or quarterly data. I'd like a more frequent set - perhaps weekly if at all possible.

    I'm curious what others have done with this data limitation. One idea is filling-forward the dataset (ie if blank use last value). Not a huge fan of this approach though.

    What else could be done?

    Thanks
     
  2. bump.

    Anything?
     
  3. dom993

    dom993

    I would add the price of the natural resources Canada exports, energy & mining in particular.
     
  4. great point, I will add nat resources into the mix, certainly affects the fundamentals

    Any insights on how to merge monthly and daily data?

    My options are:
    Convert monthly to daily, using same value throughout the month.
    Sum daily data to monthly level and proceed. Looses granularity but might be the easiest to start with