HLF $90 to $100 in 2 years from $38.50 as of 11/14/14. Business model will survive despite pyramid chain allegations.
My opinion is that the company will continue to exist, but as it changes it's business model to contain less regulatory risk, it's earnings will be difficult to forecast. It's already happening as they change some of their distributor practices.
you are wrong. how much are you willing to bet that a long term straddle will not prove to be profitable?
I wouldn't waste time analysing the business model, the stock will be up over 30% soon, so get in then get out with a nice profit.......
I never made the claim that a straddle was a good trade. I just said it's hard to judge whether the stock was cheap or not. Where did you come up with the idea that I was advocating buying a long dated straddle?
http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/11/15/us-investments-funds-herbalife-idUSKCN0IY2GN20141115 "Patrick McCormack's Tiger Consumer Management took a new position, buying 1.78 million shares."