https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign-polls/499554-trump-and-biden-statistically-tied-in-utah-poll A Utah poll found former Vice President Joe Biden and President Trump in a statistical tie, with the president leading by just 3 points in the Republican stronghold. Trump leads Biden 44 percent to 41 percent in the UtahPolicy.com/KUTV 2 News survey conducted by Y2 Analytics, with a margin of error of 3 points. The poll also found 8 percent supporting a third-party candidate and 5 percent undecided. The poll represents a tighter race than April, when Trump led Biden 46 percent to 41 percent. The most recent poll found a wide gender gap, with Biden leading Trump 47 percent to 37 percent among women while Trump leads 51 percent to 35 percent among men. Poll: Biden leads Trump by 11 points nationally Loeffler runs ad tying Doug Collins to Pelosi, Sanders, Biden Ninety-three percent of voters identifying as “strong Republicans” backed Trump, compared with 55 percent of moderate Republicans and 68 percent of Republican-leaning independent voters. However, voters who identify as independents with no left or right lean supported Biden 38 percent to 28 percent, while self-identified moderates backed Biden 53 to 19 percent. Trump won the state with 45.5 percent in 2016, with Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton getting 27.4 percent. Independent candidate Evan McMullin, a former CIA officer and member of the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-Day Saints, received 21.5 percent of the vote. Pollsters with Y2 Analytics surveyed 1,099 likely Utah voters from May 9-15.
https://kutv.com/news/local/trumps-job-approval-in-utah-slides-into-negative-territory President Donald Trump’s approval rating with Utah voters has once again fallen into negative territory, a new Y2 Analytics survey finds. The poll, conducted for UtahPolicy.com and KUTV 2News, shows that 52% of Utah voters “strongly” or “somewhat” disapprove of the job Trump is doing as president. 48% “strongly” or “somewhat” approve of the president. President Donald Trump’s approval rating with Utah voters has once again fallen into negative territory, a new Y2 Analytics survey finds. (Photo: UtahPolicy.com) The state’s disapproval of Trump roughly follows national surveys: The website fivethirtyeight.com, which compiles a variety of national polls into a statistical average, finds 53.6% of Americans disapprove of Trump, while 42.6% approve. Trump in Utah recently had a better approval rating than disapproval rating, Y2 found. But now most Utahns are back to disapproving of the job the president is doing. The latest survey also found that Trump is only leading former Democratic vice president Joe Biden by 3 percentage points in Utah. Now we see the president is also not well-liked in the Beehive State. Of course, as we’ve seen in other polling here, there’s a very large partisan divide in how Utahns’ see the president: Those who said they are “strong” Republicans believe Trump is doing a good job as president, 92-8%. The “not so strong” Republicans approve of Trump, 67-32%. That a very good job approval rating, except for the fact that a third of those less-supportive Republicans disapprove of Trump, not a good sign for the incumbent among his own party members. As you move further away from the political right, the disapproval for the president rises: Among those who said they are independents; 68% disapprove of Trump. And “not so strong” and “strong” Democrats really dislike him, 99-1% and 100-0%, respectively. Conservatives like the president, but moderates and liberals don’t, Y2 finds. President Donald Trump’s approval rating with Utah voters has once again fallen into negative territory, a new Y2 Analytics survey finds. (Photo: UtahPolicy.com) But here are some weaknesses in the poll numbers that should bother the Trump-backers in Utah: It’s true that those who said they are “very active” members of The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints approve of the president, 58-41%. But Trump is losing support among 41% of “very active” Mormons. And Mormons nationwide have been some of the president’s strongest supporters, various surveys show. Losing more than 40% of active Mormon voters in Utah can be seen as troubling. Trump also gets good support, 60%, from non-Mormon “Christians” in Utah -- generally seen as the conservative groups, like Southern Baptists. But, again, 40% of the “Christians” group disapprove of the job Trump is doing. Besides liberals and Democrats, where the president falls really short here is among women -- a trend UtahPolicy.com has seen for some time. Sixty percent of women disapprove of Trump, with 54% “strongly” disapproving of him. But 56% of men approve of Trump, with 35% “strongly” approving of him. Overall, that is a 16 percentage-point difference between men and women in the president’s approval rating. President Donald Trump’s approval rating with Utah voters has once again fallen into negative territory, a new Y2 Analytics survey finds. (Photo: UtahPolicy.com) Now, even though Trump is underwater in his approval ratings and only 3 percentage points ahead of Biden at this point in the presidential race, this does not mean Trump is in trouble of losing Utah. Unless something really terrible happens with the local economy come early November, or the coronavirus infects and kills many, many more Utahns, this state will vote for Trump -- as it did in 2016. Utah hasn’t voted Democratic in a presidential race since Lyndon Johnson won it in 1964. But Trump’s weakness here could mean danger in U.S. House, legislative, and county races for Republican Trump enthusiastic candidates down-ballot. And some of the candidates now strongly support the president in their Republican primary races -- to be decided in just five weeks -- may turn moot on the president, and not want him campaigning for them when the final November election rolls around. For example, whoever faces Democratic Rep. Ben McAdams in the 4th District may be Trump wary; in that swing district, 56% of voters disapprove of Trump, while only 43% approve of him. That 13 percentage-point difference could well be deadly for a 4th District GOP nominee if he or she tries to tie themselves too closely to the unpopular president. In U.S. Rep. Chris Stewart’s 2nd Congressional District -- which includes large parts of Salt Lake City -- voters disapprove of Trump 55-45%, with 51% “strongly” disapproving of the president. Stewart has previously easily won re-election in the district. And Stewart is one of the U.S. House’s strongest defenders of Trump. Stewart should still be safe in the very Republican district this year -- but Trump opponents in the district clearly outweigh his supporters. Statewide, Y2 polled 1,090 voters on the president’s job approval, from May 9-15. The survey has a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points. In the 4th District, 277 voters were polled, with a margin of error of plus or minus 5.9 percentage points. And in the 2nd District, 296 voters were polled, the margin of error being plus or minus 5.7 percentage points.