Come Apr 15-ish, Bulls' market confidence might get shaken. Projections are for... 1. Stagnating economy 2. Earnings disappointment/adjustment downward 3. Forward guidance on earnings scaled back 4. Inflation 5. Rate hikes We'll see if the bulls can keep buying "zombie-like" into that storm.
I agree, though the FOMC is still pushing QE into the markets every week. I was surprised to see them still expanding that bloated balance sheet. https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/bst_recenttrends.htm I guess when money costs you nothing, you lose all discipline.
So lets see... The ruble is outlawed, yet Germany will pay for oil in rubles. The yuan is off limits, yet Saudi Arabia will sell oil in terms of Yuan. Not to be overlooked, the Euro is collapsing. In plain sight. Oh yea, an inverted yield curve in the US too. It is not rocket science to understand that the metalheads have it wrong (for now) ... the USD is NOT about to lose reserve status. Timing is everything. And it is not rocket science to understand the USD remains the only currency (and therefore US equities) capable of handling inflows that are coming from everywhere!! As long as March lows hold on the quarterly time frame, there is strength in the US indexes.
Then go long now on an index. I've been long since Jan 3rd. Why am I the only one with belief? I mean, for how long are you going to wait for March lows to hold? March of NEXT YEAR? 2026? 2039?
Stop being a moron. I go long AND short during the trading day. And I end the day with cash only. I don't have the problems YOU have. As for how long I would wait for March lows to hold... well I specifically said the Quarterly time frame, Soooooo, that means the close of the next quarterly bar(s). The next quarterly bar closes on June 30. If you want to use weeks or days or months or even ticks then you do that. I specifically referenced the quarterly time frame... completely on topic with the title of this thread. I also used the word strength. That does not mean up up and away. Stop already.
Unfortunately the markets don't operate on logic. My guess is we go quite a bit higher yet before ultimately rolling over into a mult-year period of consolidation.