ECL

Discussion in 'Options' started by oldnemesis, Mar 10, 2016.

  1. http://finance.yahoo.com/news/why-barclays-reduced-ecolab-price-205351200.html

    http://www.streetedition.net/zacks-rating-on-ecolab/6249076/

    http://finance.yahoo.com/news/ecolab-misses-street-4q-forecasts-134233834.html

    http://finance.yahoo.com/news/ecolab-ecl-misses-q4-earnings-200708660.html

    http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ks?s=ECL+Key+Statistics

    http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=ecl

    Trade:
    With ECL at 105.25
    Oct 120/125 bear call spread for a net credit of $84
    Yield = 84/416 = 20.2% in 225 days or 32.8% annualized
    Prob = 76%
    Expectation = .76(84) - .18(416) - .06(208) = 63.8 - 74.9 - 12.5 = -23.6

    Price................ Profit / Loss.......... ROM %
    80.00...................... 84.00.............. 20.20%
    90.00...................... 84.00.............. 20.20%
    110.00.................... 84.00.............. 20.20%
    120.00.................... 84.00.............. 20.20%
    120.84...................... 0.00............... 0.00%
    125.00................. (416.00)........... -79.80%
    130.00................. (416.00)........... -79.80%
    140.00................. (416.00)........... -79.80%
    150.00................. (416.00)........... -79.80%

    filled at $84
     
    Last edited: Mar 10, 2016
  2. OptionGuru

    OptionGuru

  3. Closed ECL at a loss of $163 per contract

    http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=ecl

    Despite the fact that ECL is still rated as a sell by Zacks, it did exceed earnings estimates. I did not close out when it beat earnings :

    http://finance.yahoo.com/news/ecolab-ecl-beats-q1-earnings-141502615.html

    as I probably should have but now it is getting too close to my spread and I'd just as soon get rid of it as I no longer have the view I had when I made the original trade.

    BTW What ever happened to BOTPRO??

    Wasn't he the guy who read about options but had no money to trade... and had never made an options trade in his life????

    Maybe he started a newsletter.

    :)
     
    Last edited: May 25, 2016