I feel pretty confident we'll at least have one more push down on NVDA to the 100-105 area and the SMH to about 200 before we get a significant bounce. However, if certain news events occur or the macro economic environment really begins to deteriorate, I could see much lower price targets based on the charts. NVDA could see 70 and the SMH could fall to the 160's or even worse the 110s.
@schizo has made a similar worst case call on NVDA. I tend to agree with you that 105-100 would be an 'all in' for the smart money.