Do you think the Market has already priced everything in?

Discussion in 'Economics' started by RGLD, May 11, 2021.

  1. RGLD

    RGLD

    Fear of inflation, the fed selling treasuries to off-set it, bitcoin moves up, etc etc...

    All this stuff has already happened. The fed announced it will be selling Treasury bonds now? Haven't the 30 year bond already been falling for the past months?

    Dollar index (UUP) has hit so low it's actually tried rallying in April.

    Bitcoin has already went up to 60k this year. Gas and Oil prices has been rallying for months now.

    This is just my instinct, but unless there is more bad news on the horizon, I think most of the bad news is already priced in. What do you think?
     
    murray t turtle likes this.
  2. iprph90

    iprph90

    Well......"We don't know what we don't know"
     
  3. Semi strong form market efficiency *shrug*

    I’m still seeing a good amount of interesting trades.
     
  4. %%
    I think SPY may test/hit 50 day moving average this week , see if it closes up by FRI??
    UDOW looks like its going down more\ but i'm not in it now anyway.
     
  5. kmiklas

    kmiklas

    I'd say mostly yes. Inflation headlines are everywhere, I'm getting emails and ads telling me what I need to do about it--which is very nice of them.

    The big unknown is when the Fed will start getting hawkish. Maybe this is last call.
     
    Last edited: May 12, 2021
  6. RGLD

    RGLD

    Do you think Biden will get in the way? He's printing money for his socialism agenda... Doesn't work if the fed is Hawkish.
     
  7. Big AAPL

    Big AAPL

    If you are a daytrader, this market is reacting to the news RIGHT NOW. It has nothing to do with fundamentals or TA (I am a TA whore BTW). Although TA will point you in the right direction once the masses decide how to react. Don't try to front run the news. Trade on how the market reacts to it.
     
  8. tayte

    tayte

    Yes.